Angels vs Royals, Opening Day Simulation

Now let's look ahead for the Angels. It is March 31st, opening day and the Angels are on the road playing the Kansas City Royals. The opening day starters are likely to be Jered Weaver vs Luke Hochevar. Lineups and depth charts are taken from MLBDepthCharts.com and I know that some players (K.Morales) may not be ready by opening day. I ran the likely lineups through my baseball simulator for 100K games. Below are a detailed look at the results for us baseball starved fans.

Player	Pos		Player	Pos
Angels			Royals
Maicer Izturis	3B		Melky Cabrera	CF
Bobby Abreu	DH		Mike Aviles	3B
Torii Hunter	RF		Billy Butler	DH
Kendry Morales	1B		Kila Kaaihue	1B
Vernon Wells	LF		Alex Gordon	LF
Howie Kendrick	2B		Jeff Francoeur	RF
Erick Aybar	SS		Brayan Pena	C
Jeff Mathis	C		Chris Getz	2B
Peter Bourjos	CF		Alcides Escobar	SS

... And now the results!

Away	Home			Favorite	Win Prob	Over/Under
LAA	KC	Jered Weaver	Luke Hochevar	LAA	59.07%	8.55

No surprise as it looks like the Angels will be a solid favorite on the road in the season opener, but of course anything can happen.

Here is the hitters boxscore(s)

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	BB	SO	wOBA	BABIP
Maicer Izturis	4.533	1.329	0.781	0.412	0.033	0.102	0.478	0.363	0.704	0.353	0.329
Bobby Abreu	4.231	1.264	0.755	0.329	0.024	0.156	0.547	0.592	0.928	0.385	0.352
Torii Hunter	4.343	1.246	0.775	0.303	0.007	0.16	0.606	0.359	0.826	0.352	0.323
Kendry Morales	4.208	1.265	0.751	0.338	0.017	0.159	0.657	0.386	0.681	0.372	0.328
Vernon Wells	4.182	1.202	0.68	0.319	0.025	0.178	0.68	0.304	0.682	0.359	0.308
Howie Kendrick	4.158	1.311	0.804	0.373	0.051	0.082	0.532	0.214	0.7	0.362	0.364
Erick Aybar	4.004	1.15	0.761	0.259	0.079	0.052	0.446	0.262	0.637	0.333	0.331
Jeff Mathis	3.889	0.909	0.584	0.238	0.015	0.072	0.417	0.268	0.825	0.283	0.28
Peter Bourjos	3.866	1.023	0.647	0.256	0.061	0.06	0.414	0.185	0.726	0.307	0.313
Melky Cabrera	4.263	1.14	0.698	0.327	0.057	0.059	0.358	0.305	0.756	0.319	0.314
Mike Aviles	4.237	1.244	0.831	0.297	0.021	0.095	0.435	0.21	0.727	0.334	0.336
Billy Butler	4.049	1.177	0.716	0.332	0.004	0.126	0.505	0.33	0.764	0.353	0.333
Kila Kaaihue	3.963	0.999	0.678	0.209	0.014	0.098	0.429	0.359	0.917	0.31	0.306
Alex Gordon	3.806	1.002	0.627	0.237	0.014	0.124	0.472	0.413	0.928	0.337	0.319
Jeff Francoeur	3.824	1.017	0.672	0.22	0.015	0.11	0.437	0.23	0.825	0.316	0.314
Brayan Pena	3.676	0.907	0.65	0.223	0.005	0.028	0.288	0.268	0.822	0.283	0.311
Chris Getz	3.607	0.932	0.597	0.236	0.048	0.052	0.347	0.267	0.693	0.309	0.308
Alcides Escobar	3.549	0.905	0.616	0.198	0.053	0.038	0.323	0.181	0.681	0.291	0.306

And the pitchers boxscore

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Jered Weaver	6.396	5.274	1.652	6.738	0.545	99.864	3.434
Fernando Rodney	0.481	0.36	0.181	0.49	0.03	7.691	3.657
Scott Downs	0.404	0.288	0.104	0.426	0.025	6.231	3.353
Kevin Jepsen	0.602	0.484	0.252	0.614	0.033	9.812	3.565
Jordan Walden	0.297	0.249	0.129	0.31	0.028	4.901	4.058
Hisanori Takahashi	0.433	0.316	0.159	0.477	0.043	7.003	4.141
Rich Thompson	0.216	0.134	0.079	0.251	0.023	3.496	4.47
Bobby Cassevah	0.016	0.008	0.007	0.018	0.001	0.261	4.256
Luke Hochevar	5.9	4.097	1.755	7.014	0.696	94.648	4.238
Joakim Soria	0.39	0.418	0.073	0.357	0.023	5.929	2.372
Blake Wood	0.451	0.322	0.144	0.523	0.051	7.259	4.202
Robison Tejeda	0.759	0.675	0.272	0.806	0.069	12.341	3.673
Tim Collins	0.453	0.321	0.19	0.534	0.053	7.547	4.568
Jeremy Jeffress	0.914	0.641	0.385	1.053	0.08	15.143	4.203
Jesse Chavez	0.332	0.232	0.112	0.405	0.049	5.435	4.749
Kanekoa Texeira	0.005	0.003	0.002	0.006	0	0.087	3.739