Friday, September 17, 2010

Rolling Over



September 18th, Simulations of interest...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Rockies Dodgers J.Chacin vs J.Ely Rockies 54.75% 51.21% COL 12-2
Padres Cardinals C.Young vs J.Suppan Padres 51.46% 43.93% SD 8-4
Brewers Giants Y.Gallardo vs T.Lincecum Giants 58.51% 57.59% MIL 2-1


Current ROI: 2.82%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West
Rank Team 9/18 9/17 9/16 9/15 9/14 9/13 9/12 9/11 9/10 9/9 9/8
1 Giants 50.04% 57.04% 46.54% 37.30% 46.08% 46.78% 39.50% 50.74% 40.00% 31.96% 45.21%
2 Padres 28.93% 30.68% 41.20% 52.81% 38.05% 28.98% 39.38% 31.74% 44.57% 55.61% 50.19%
3 Rockies 21.03% 12.28% 12.25% 9.86% 15.86% 24.23% 21.11% 17.51% 15.43% 12.42% 4.54%
4 Dodgers 0.0006% 0.0003% 0.004% 0.002% 0.008% 0.018% 0.012% 0.01% 0.006% 0.01% 0.06%


MLB Scoreboard

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