Thursday, February 07, 2008

NL Central - Best Bullpens

Note: Updated 1/29/08
Time to rank the NL Central bullpens. The method I will use to rank NL Central bullpens is to give each team the same batting lineup and to start each simulated game in the top of the 7th inning with the score tied and the starting pitcher about to be relieved for each team in their opponents half of the 7th inning. This way the only difference between the two teams will be the bullpens. 5000 games are simulated home and away with each team facing each other. Winning percentages are added and then averaged. All games are played in a neutral park environment and of course 2008 ZIPS projections are being used. See the table below for results.

Note: The simulation may output slightly different results if I start in the 6th inning or 8th inning as opposed to the 7th inning. Bullpen depth charts from Rototimes and Yahoo were used in determining bullpen depth chart listings.

Rank Team Total
1 STL .5345
2 HOU .5122
3 CHC .4987
4 MIL .4932
5 PIT .4848
6 CIN .4767


No time for an indepth breakdown of these results. If you'd like any further information from this sim study please leave a comment of email me.

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