ZIPS Simulation: DBacks vs Dodgers

Each pitching matchup is game simulated 2500 times, using input stats from ZIPS. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
Pitcher	Schmidt	Lowe	Penny	Wolf	Billingsley	Guo
Webb	.551	.517	.540	.563	.563	.536
Johnson	.552	.549	.534	.580	.556	.537
Hernandez	.450	.447	.466	.522	.470	.445
Davis	.487	.495	.479	.549	.534	.486
Gonzalez	.444	.462	.455	.484	.489	.440

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Diamondbacks	0	0	0	0	1	5	7	2
Dodgers	0	0	0	0	0	4	5	6

ZIPS Simulation: Padres vs Giants

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Padres vs Giants
Pitcher	Cain	Zito	Lowry	Morris	Sanchez
Peavy	.633	.634	.644	.650	.675
Young	.613	.614	.614	.616	.621
Maddux	.592	.595	.597	.606	.624
Hensley	.580	.598	.587	.591	.622
Wells	.549	.550	.556	.571	.593

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Padres	0	1	4	8	8	2	2	0
Giants	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ZIPS Simulation: Rockies vs Dodgers

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Rockies vs Dodgers
Pitcher	Cook	Francis	Fogg	Kim	Lopez
Schmidt	.645	.652	.687	.682	.697
Lowe	.593	.613	.639	.616	.648
Penny	.614	.621	.660	.614	.654
Wolf	.569	.593	.617	.604	.629
Billingsley	.602	.604	.661	.610	.665
Guo	.622	.637	.679	.668	.692

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Rockies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Dodgers	5	6	5	11	2	1	0	0

Current project

I am currently using my baseball simulator program to project win expectancy for every NL West starting pitching matchup using ZIPS for player projections and RotoTimes for most likely lineups, starting rotations and bullpens. Each pitching matchup is game simulated 2500 times. Each team plays half of it's games at home and half of it's games on the road. I will be posting the results on a team vs team basis. I will begin posting results the last week of January. vr, Xeifrank

World Series Game 5: Detroit vs St Louis

Game 5: Justin Verlander vs Jeff Weaver
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	3.503	45.2%	.4863
St Louis	3.6	55.8%	.5137
Slight Advantage: Cardinals

World Series Game 4: Detroit vs St Louis

Game 4: Jeremy Bonderman vs Jeff Suppan
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	3.468	46.5%	.5045
St Louis	3.437	53.5%	.4955
Slight Advantage: Tigers (Toss Up)

World Series Game 3: Detroit vs St Louis

Game 3: Nate Robertson vs Chris Carpenter
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	3.01	37.8%	.3899
St Louis	3.77	62.6%	.6101
Advantage: Cardinals

World Series Game 2: St Louis vs Detroit

Game 2: Jeff Weaver vs Kenny Rogers
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	5.188	62.6%	.6523
Detroit	3.788	37.4%	.3477
Big Advantage: Cardinals

World Series Game 1: St Louis vs Detroit

Game 1: Anthony Reyes vs Justin Verlander
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	4.622	52.8%	.5568
Detroit	4.124	47.2%	.4432
Advantage: Cardinals

NLCS Game 7: St Louis vs New York

Game 7: Jeff Suppan vs Oliver Perez
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	5.27	51.1%	.556
New York	4.71	48.9%	.444
Advantage: Cardinals

NLCS Game 6: Carpenter vs Maine

Game 6: Carpenter vs Maine
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	4.40	49.2%	.529
New York	4.16	50.8%	.471
Slight Advantage: Cardinals

NLCS Game 5: New York vs St Louis

Game 5 Glavine vs Weaver
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
New York	5.27	53.3%	.582
St Louis	4.67	46.7%	.418
Advantage: Mets

NLCS Game 4: New York vs St Louis

Game 4 Perez vs Reyes
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
New York	4.5	40%	.475
St Louis	4.73	60%	.525
Slight Advantage: Cardinals

NLCS Game 2: St Louis vs New York

Game 2: Carpenter vs Maine
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	4.36	43.3%	.474
New York	4.6	56.6%	.526
Slight Advantage: Mets

ALCS Game 3: Oakland vs Detroit

Game 3: Harden vs Rogers
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Oakland	3.93	46.7	.483
Detroit	4.07	53.3%	.517
Slight Advantage: Detroit

ALCS Game 2: Detroit vs Oakland

Game 2: Verlander vs Loaiza
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	4.28	44%	.455
Oakland	4.68	56%	.545
Slight Advantage: A's

NLCS Game 1: St Louis vs New York

Game 1: Weaver vs Glavine
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	5.78	46%	.518
New York	5.58	54%	.482
Slight Advantage: Cardinals

ALCS Game 1: Detroit vs Oakland

Game 1: Robertson vs Zito
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	4.58	52%	.536
Oakland	4.26	48%	.464
Slight Advantage: Tigers

Game 4: San Diego vs St Louis

Game 4: Williams vs Carpenter
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
San Diego	4.16	56%	.561
St Louis	3.68	44%	.439
Advantage: Padres

Game 4: New York vs Detroit

Game 4: Wright vs Bonderman
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
New York	7.20	64%	.707
Detroit	4.64	36%	.293
Big Advantage: Yankees