tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20896614.post9042289128443430497..comments2024-03-26T02:18:13.696-07:00Comments on Dodger Sims: 2010 Simulation ResultsUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20896614.post-38143941076651644432010-10-13T18:55:26.147-07:002010-10-13T18:55:26.147-07:00Great question Pat. That is something I should be...Great question Pat. That is something I should be able to do, just not sure when. When I do do it, I will post the results in a blog entry (not this thread), since it is probably worthwhile of its own post. Hopefully there are enough 2010 results to make this work.Xeifrankhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15904090174534262598noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20896614.post-35714596505539256742010-10-13T09:24:15.773-07:002010-10-13T09:24:15.773-07:00Very nice results. I've followed (very lightl...Very nice results. I've followed (very lightly) your simulator for a couple of years now. I was wondering if you had any totals not on ROI but on the overall accuracy of the simulator. You'd probably have to do ranges but in a format for example like this:<br /><br />There were 400 games where a team was given 60-65% odds of winning, the favored team won 63% of those games.<br />There were 900 games where a team was given 55-60% odds of winning and the favored team won 54% of those.<br /><br />Just as an example but I would love to see a grouping with percentages to compare to the simulator results.<br /><br />Thanks and great work!Pathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08475985358149497695noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20896614.post-64678383557287746432010-10-06T18:23:18.583-07:002010-10-06T18:23:18.583-07:00Yes, my betting system used the Kelly system for b...Yes, my betting system used the Kelly system for bet sizes. I didn't keep track in detail of how often the lines moved with my predictions as I only have a limited amount of time to work on this. Thanks for the great question, feel free to visit any time.Xeifrankhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15904090174534262598noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20896614.post-52930987519963335642010-10-06T14:03:33.270-07:002010-10-06T14:03:33.270-07:00I have a couple questions for you. Have you though...I have a couple questions for you. Have you thought about looking at how the sim would have done using Kelly? Do you have an idea how often you beat the Pinnacle no-vig closing lines? How often did the lines move with your predictions? I just found your site after seeing your post on Tango's site. Good work.Josh Englemanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10063763724773132532noreply@blogger.com