Sunday, May 30, 2010

Billingsley Poised To Beat NL West Doormat



May 31st, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
DBacks Dodgers R.Lopez vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 63.50% 69.24% LAN 5-4
Phillies Braves J.Blanton vs T.Hanson Braves 59.02% 60.75% ATL 9-3
Brewers Marlins C.Narveson vs N.Robertson Marlins 54.75% 51.19% FLA 13-5
Cubs Pirates R.Wells vs R.Ohlendorf Cubs 55.95% 55.96% PIT 2-1
Nationals Astros L.Atilano vs R.Oswalt Astros 61.69% 60.55% WAS 14-4
Rockies Giants U.Jimenez vs T.Lincecum Giants 50.50% 54.58% COL 4-0
Reds Cardinals B.Arroyo vs J.Garcia Cardinals 59.18% 64.11% STL 12-4
Mets Padres H.Takahashi vs K.Correia Padres 53.92% 59.97% SD 18-6
A's Tigers T.Cahill vs J.Verlander Tigers 62.96% 67.99% OAK 4-1
Indians Yankees M.Talbot vs A.Pettitte Yankees 70.76% 68.36% NYA 11-2
Angels Royals E.Santana vs L.Hochevar Royals 50.50% 57.29% LAA 7-1
Rays Blue Jays M.Garza vs B.Morrow Rays 56.14% 46.55% TOR 3-2
Twins Mariners F.Liriano vs D.Fister Twins 52.61% 51.42% MIN 5-4

Current ROI: 2.42%

MLB Scoreboard

Saturday, May 29, 2010

Kuroda Cooks Up A Loss



May 30th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Rockies C.Kershaw vs J.Chacin Rockies 50.74% 49.76% LAN 4-3
Phillies Marlins J.Moyer vs A.Sanchez Marlins 54.55% 59.17% FLA 1-0
Astros Reds F.Paulino vs M.Leake Reds 65.28% 54.30% HOU 2-0
Pirates Braves P.Maholm vs K.Kawakami Braves 61.24% 56.40% ATL 5-2
Mets Brewers R.Dickey vs R.Wolf Brewers 56.90% 61.18% NYN 10-4
Cardinals Cubs A.Wainwright vs R.Dempster Cardinals 52.15% 53.84% STL 9-1
Nationals Padres L.Hernandez vs J.Garland Padres 60.00% 55.10% SD 3-2
DBacks Giants I.Kennedy vs T.Wellemeyer DBacks 50.74% 50.07% SF 6-5
A's Tigers D.Braden vs A.Galarraga Tigers 54.95% 49.16% DET 10-2
Indians Yankees J.Masterson vs A.Burnett Yankees 72.97% 62.22% NYA 7-3
Orioles Blue Jays J.Guthrie vs R.Romero Blue Jays 63.64% 66.80% TOR 6-1
Royals Red Sox G.Meche vs J.Lester Red Sox 73.96% 73.29% BOS 8-1
White Sox Rays J.Peavy vs J.Shields Rays 63.24% 57.27% CHA 8-5
Mariners Angels I.Snell vs J.Saunders Angels 59.02% 54.90% LAA 9-7
Rangers Twins D.Holland vs S.Baker Twins 57.63% 62.25% MIN 6-3

Current ROI: 2.10%

MLB Scoreboard

Friday, May 28, 2010

Dodgers Cooking Up Something Good



May 29th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Rockies H.Kuroda vs A.Cook Rockies 54.13% 51.76% COL 11-3
Cardinals Cubs A.Ottavino vs D.Silva Cubs 56.52% 55.78% CHN 5-0
Phillies Marlins R.Halladay vs J.Johnson Phillies 54.34% 50.53% PHI 1-0
Astros Reds B.Moehler vs A.Harang Reds 62.69% 56.86% CIN 12-2
Pirates Braves B.Buress vs K.Medlan Braves 66.22% 66.14% ATL 6-3
Mets Brewers F.Nieve vs M.Parra Brewers 54.55% 64.16% MIL 8-6
Nationals Padres J.Martin vs M.Latos Padres 61.83% 58.91% SD 4-2
DBacks Giants B.Buckner vs J.Sanchez Giants 60.32% 64.63% SF 12-1
Indians Yankees D.Huff vs C.Sabathia Yankees 75.00% 67.34% NYA 13-11
Orioles Blue Jays C.Tillman vs B.Cecil Blue Jays 64.29% 65.62% TOR 5-2
Mariners Angels I.Snell vs J.Weaver Angels 65.52% 64.96% LAA 5-1
Rangers Twins C.Wilson vs C.Pavano Twins 56.52% 51.10% MIN 8-3
A's Tigers B.Anderson vs R.Porcello Tigers 55.56% 51.10% OAK 6-0
Royals Red Sox Z.Greinke vs C.Buchholz Red So 56.90% 56.24% BOS 1-0
White Sox Rays J.Danks vs W.Davis Rays 57.67% 47.94% TB 8-5

Current ROI: 1.70%

MLB Scoreboard

Thursday, May 27, 2010

All We Need Is A Miracle



May 28th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Rockies C.Monasterios vs J.Francis Rockies 59.84% 59.74% LAN 5-4
Cardinals Cubs C.Carpenter vs R.Wells Cardinals 56.33% 48.10% STL 7-1
Phillies Marlins K.Kendrick vs C.Volstad Marlins 53.92% 48.88% PHI 3-2
Astros Reds W.Rodriguez vs S.LeCure Reds 53.70% 47.13% CIN 15-6
Pirates Braves Z.Duke vs D.Lowe Braves 62.26% 60.21% ATL 7-3
Mets Brewers J.Santana vs Y.Gallardo Brewers 51.22% 58.19% MIL 2-0
Nationals Padres J.Lannan vs C.Richard Padres 57.63% 62.10% WAS 5-3
DBacks Giants E.Jackson vs M.Cain Giants 55.95% 60.97% SF 5-0
A's Tigers B.Sheets vs D.Willis Tigers 52.61% 57.48% OAK 5-4
Indians Yankees F.Carmona vs P.Hughes Yankees 70.06% 65.73% NYA 8-2
Orioles Blue Jays K.Millwood vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 63.64% 64.01% TOR 5-0
Royals Red Sox K.Davies vs T.Wakefield Red Sox 64.16% 59.75% KC 12-5
White Sox Rays F.Garcia vs D.Price Rays 67.95% 63.63% CHA 4-2
Rangers Twins C.Lewis vs K.SLowey Twins 53.70% 54.94% MIN 2-1
Mariners Angels C.Lee vs S.Kazmir Mariners 51.22% 56.44% SEA 8-3

Current ROI: 1.59%

MLB Scoreboard

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Ely's Lack Of Walks Will Control Outcome



May 27th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Cubs J.Ely vs T.Lilly Cubs 54.55% 49.54% LAN 1-0
Astros Brewers B.Myers vs D.Bush Brewers 56.52% 58.42% MIL 4-3
DBacks Rockies D.Haren vs J.Hammel DBacks 54.13% 39.37% COL 8-2
Nationals Giants C.Stammen vs B.Zito Giants 62.96% 60.59% SF 5-4
Cardinals Padres P.Walters vs W.LeBlanc Padres 56.52% 60.73% STL 8-3
Braves Marlins T.Hudson vs R.Nolasco Marlins 51.46% 53.86% ATL 8-3
Phillies Mets C.Hamels vs M.Pelfrey Phillies 54.34% 51.83% NYN 3-0
Pirates Reds C.Morton vs J.Cueto Reds 64.54% 64.97% CIN 8-2
A's Orioles G.Gonzalez vs J.Berken A's 54.55% 53.17% OAK 7-5
Royals Red Sox B.Bannister vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 64.29% 64.28% KC 4-3
White Sox Rays G.Floyd vs J.Niemann Rays 62.26% 54.46% TB 5-1
Yankees Twins J.Vazquez vs N.Blackburn Yankees 52.61% 47.65% MIN 8-2

Current ROI: 1.47%

MLB Scoreboard

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Dodgers Drop The Ball



May 26th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Cubs C.Billingsley vs T.Gorzelanny Cubs 51.46% 55.95% LAN 8-5
Braves Marlins T.Hanson vs N.Robertson Braves 57.45% 55.67% ATL 7-3
Phillies Mets J.Blanton vs H.Takahashi Phillies 52.38% 52.37% NYN 5-0
Pirates Reds R.Ohlendorf vs B.Arroyo Reds 62.41% 60.30% CIN 4-0
Astros Brewers R.Oswalt vs C.Narveson Brewers 51.92% 55.05% HOU 5-0
DBacks Rockies R.Lopez vs U.Jimenez Rockies 70.59% 72.56% COL 7-3
Cardinals Padres J.Garcia vs K.Correia Cardinals 53.05% 51.92% SD 2-1
Nationals Giants L.Atilano vs T.Lincecum Giants 72.97% 68.56% WAS 7-3
White Sox Indians M.Buehrle vs J.Westbrook White Sox 53.27% 51.68% CHA 5-4
Rangers Royals S.Feldman vs L.Hochevar Rangers 52.38% 48.08% KC 5-2
Tigers Mariners J.Bonderman vs J.Vargas Mariners 53.05% 55.50% SEA 5-4
A's Orioles T.Cahill vs B.Matusz Orioles 53.70% 59.70% OAK 6-1
Blue Jays Angels B.Morrow vs J.Pineiro Angels 58.33% 59.29% TOR 6-5
Red Sox Rays J.Lackey vs M.Garza Rays 60.00% 58.67% BOS 11-3
Yankees Twins A.Pettitte vs F.Liriano Twins 53.05% 58.44% NYA 3-2

Current ROI: 1.98%

MLB Scoreboard

Dempster Diving



May 25th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Cubs C.Kershaw vs R.Dempster Cubs 50.98% 50.98% CHN 3-0
Braves Marlins K.Kawakami vs A.Sanchez Marlins 54.55% 57.79% FLA 6-4
Phillies Mets J.Moyer vs R.Dickey Phillies 55.95% 55.31% NYN 8-0
Pirates Reds P.Maholm vs M.Leake Reds 62.55% 59.71% PIT 2-1
Astros Brewers F.Paulino vs R.Wolf Brewers 60.32% 52.54% MIL 6-1
DBacks Rockies I.Kennedy vs J.Chacin Rockies 56.52% 60.34% COL 3-2
Cardinals Padres J.Garcia vs J.Garland Cardinals 56.14% 53.88% SD 1-0
Nationals Giants L.Hernandez vs T.Wellemeyer Giants 52.83% 45.54% SF 4-2
A's Orioles D.Braden vs J.Guthrie A's 51.46% 53.65% BAL 5-1
White Sox Indians J.Peavy vs M.Talbot White Sox 56.14% 58.17% CLE 7-3
Red Sox Rays J.lester vs J.Shields Rays 51.69% 47.89% BOS 2-0
Yankees Twins A.Burnett vs S.Baker Yankees 50.74% 42.91% Ppd
Rangers Royals R.Harden vs G.Meche Rangers 56.71% 48.34% TEX 8-7
Blue Jays Angels R.Romero vs E.Santana Blue Jays 50.98% 56.68% LAA 8-3
Tigers Mariners J.Verlander vs D.Fister Tigers 54.34% 47.10% SEA 5-3

Current ROI: 2.34%

MLB Scoreboard

Sunday, May 23, 2010

On The Road



May 24th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Pirates Reds B.Buress vs A.Harang Reds 63.24% 60.15% CIN 7-5
White Sox Indians J.Danks vs J.Masterson White Sox 57.45% 50.07% CHA 7-2
Red Sox Rays C.Buchholz vs W.Davis Rays 55.56% 49.43% BOS 6-1
Blue Jays Angels B.Cecil vs J.Saunders Angels 54.55% 55.52% TOR 6-0

Current ROI: 2.61%

MLB Scoreboard

Saturday, May 22, 2010

Quality Starts R Us



May 23rd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Tigers Dodgers R.Porcello vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 61.54% 60.56% DET 6-2
Braves Pirates K.Medlen vs Z.Duke Braves 54.75% 53.79% PIT 3-2
Reds Indians H.Bailey vs D.Huff Reds 55.56% 52.99% CIN 4-3
Red Sox Phillies T.Wakefield vs R.Halladay Phillies 65.40% 70.23% BOS 8-3
Orioles Nationals K.Millwood vs J.Lannan Nationals 53.05% 55.03% WAS 4-3
Marlins White Sox J.Johnson vs F.Garcia Marlins 56.33% 55.34% FLA 13-0
Rays Astros D.Price vs B.Norris Rays 62.26% 52.90% TB 10-6
Cubs Rangers C.Silva vs C.WIlson Rangers 62.55% 63.75% CHN 5-4
Brewers Twins M.Estrada vs C.Pavano Twins 64.79% 65.86% MIL 4-3
Rockies Royals A.Cook vs Z.Greinke Royals 57.63% 56.29% COL 11-7
Angels Cardinals J.Weaver vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 58.85% 61.40% STL 6-5
Giants A's J.Sanchez vs B.Sheets A's 51.46% 52.94% OAK 3-0
Padres Mariners M.Latos vs F.Hernandez Mariners 57.45% 55.70% SD 8-1
Blue Jays DBacks S.Marcum vs B.Buckner Blue Jays 54.95% 54.89% TOR 12-4
Yankees Mets C.Sabathia vs J.Santana Yankees 57.45% 49.56% NYN 6-4

Current ROI: 2.42%

MLB Scoreboard

Friday, May 21, 2010

Tied To Be First



May 22nd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Tigers Dodgers A.Galarraga vs J.Ely Dodgers 58.85% 62.78% LAN 6-4
Braves Pirates D.Lowe vs C.Morton Braves 59.02% 53.14% ATL 4-2
Marlins White Sox C.Volstad vs G.Floyd White Sox 54.55% 60.09% CHA 4-1
Angels Cardinals S.Kazmir vs K.Lohse Cardinals 58.33% 59.76% LAA 10-7
Giants A's M.Cain vs G.Gonzalez A's 51.22% 60.13% OAK 1-0
Orioles Nationals B.Bergesen vs C.Stammen Nationals 58.16% 61.94% WAS 7-6
Rockies Royals J.Francis vs K.Davies Rockies 54.13% 49.88% COL 3-0
Brewers Twins Y.Gallardo vs K.Slowey Twins 56.14% 51.59% MIN 8-7
Rays Astros J.Niemann vs W.Rodriguez Rays 58.68% 48.91% TB 4-2
Reds Indians J.Cueto vs F.Carmona Indians 51.22% 50.10% CIN 6-4
Cubs Rangers R.Wells vs D.Holland Rangers 60.32% 45.90% CHN 5-4
Yankees Mets P.Hughes vs M.Pelfrey Yankees 60.63% 52.95% NYN 5-3
Red Sox Phillies D.Matsuzaka vs K.Kendrick Phillies 57.81% 57.58% BOS 5-0
Blue Jays DBacks D.Eveland vs E.Jackson DBacks 56.33% 57.54% DBacks 8-5
Padres Mariners C.Richard vs I.Snell Padres 51.92% 53.35% SD 2-1

Current ROI: 1.77%

NFL undrafted free agents

Thursday, May 20, 2010

The Dontrelle Of A New Winning Streak



May 21th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Tigers Dodgers D.Willis vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 63.37% 64.99% LAN 4-1
Braves Pirates T.Hudson vs R.Ohlendorf Braves 60.16% 56.20% ATL 7-0
Reds Indians B.Arroyo vs J.Westbrook Reds 53.49% 51.48% CIN 7-4
Red Sox Phillies J.Lackey vs C.Hamels Phillies 56.71% 61.11% PHI 5-1
Orioles Nationals D.Hernandez vs S.Olsen Nationals 61.39% 67.31% BAL 5-3
Yankees Mets J.Vazquez vs H.Takahashi Yankees 60.32% 53.88% NYA 2-1
Rays Astros M.Garza vs B.Myers Rays 63.37% 60.01% HOU 2-1
Cubs Rangers T.Lilly vs C.Lewis Rangers 57.63% 51.37% TEX 2-1
Marlins White Sox R.Nolasco vs M.Buehrle White Sox 51.69% 49.71% CHA 8-0
Brewers Twins D.Bush vs N.Blackburn Twins 62.12% 58.08% MIN 15-3
Rockies Royals J.Hammel vs B.Bannister Rockies 51.92% 57.76% KC 9-2
Angels Cardinals J.Pineiro vs B.Penny Cardinals 59.18% 54.08% STL 9-5
Blue Jays DBacks B.Morrow vs D.Haren DBacks 61.24% 56.49% ARI 8-6
Giants A's B.Zito vs T.Cahill Giants 52.15% 55.63% OAK 6-1
Padres Mariners W.LeBlanc vs C.Lee Mariners 62.69% 62.07% SEA 15-8

Current ROI: 2.65%

baseball whip

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Can't Win Em All



May 20th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Padres Dodgers K.Correia vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 61.54% 63.89% LAN 4-1
Reds Braves M.Leake vs T.Hanson Braves 60.16% 66.19% ATL 10-9
Cubs Phillies R.Dempster vs J.Blanton Phillies 53.92% 52.04% PHI 5-4
Marlins Cardinals N.Robertson vs A.Wainwright Cardinals 69.23% 68.03% STL 4-2
Brewers Pirates C.Narveson vs P.Maholm Brewers 53.27% 48.87% MIL 4-3
Mets Nationals J.Maine vs L.Atilano Nationals 53.92% 59.61% NYN 10-7
Rockies Astros U.Jimenez vs R.Oswalt Rockies 58.16% 54.19% COL 4-0
Giants DBacks T.Lincecum vs R.Lopez Giants 62.69% 61.22% ARI 8-7
Tigers A's J.Bonderman vs T.Ross Tigers 53.92% 52.80% DET 5-2
Royals Indians L.Hochever vs M.Talbot Indians 55.36% 45.25% KC 9-3
Blue Jays Mariners R.Romero vs J.Vargas Blue Jays 54.95% 52.71% SEA 4-3
Rays Yankees J.Shields vs A.Pettitte Yankees 57.98% 57.46% TB 8-6
Twins Red Sox F.Liriano vs J.Lester Red Sox 57.45% 51.28% BOS 6-2
Orioles Rangers B.Matusz vs S.Feldman Rangers 57.98% 49.32% TEX 13-7
Angels White Sox E.Santana vs M.Buehrle White Sox 53.92% 57.98% LAA 6-5

Current ROI: 3.55%

Odds to win the World Series

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

NL West Tightens Up



May 19th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Padres Dodgers J.Garland vs R.Ortiz Dodgers 54.13% 52.76% SD 10-5
Brewers Pirates R.Wolf vs B.Buress Brewers 59.68% 49.42% PIT 6-4
Cubs Phillies T.Gorzelanny vs J.Moyer Phillies 57.08% 44.56% CHN 4-1
Mets Nationals R.Dickey vs L.Hernandez Nationals 58.68% 60.92% WAS 5-3
Reds Braves A.Harang vs K.Kawakami Braves 56.52% 56.00% ATL 5-4
Rockies Astros G.Smith vs F.Paulino Rockies 53.27% 40.49% HOU 7-3
Marlins Cardinals A.Sanchez vs J.Garcia Cardinals 62.41% 60.00% FLA 5-1
Giants DBacks T.Wellemeyer vs I.Kennedy DBacks 59.51% 58.74% ARI 13-1
Royals Indians G.Meche vs J.Masterson Indians 56.52% 58.48% KC 8-5
Rays Yankees W.Davis vs A.Burnett Yankees 59.68% 61.71% TB 10-6
Twins Red Sox S.Baker vs C.Buchholz Red Sox 55.56% 49.46% BOS 3-2
Orioles Rangers J.Guthrie vs R.Harden Rangers 61.54% 53.71% TEX 4-3
Angels White Sox J.Saunders vs J.Danks White Sox 58.51% 63.95% LAA 3-2
Tigers A's J.Verlander vs D.Braden Tigers 54.55% 49.78% DET 5-1
Blue Jays Mariners B.Cecil vs D.Fister Mariners 55.56% 56.78% TOR 3-2

Current ROI: 2.94%

MLB Scoreboard

Monday, May 17, 2010

Eight! Eight! I Forget What Eight Was For



May 18th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Astros Dodgers B.Norris vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 67.74% 62.45% LAN 7-3
Brewers Reds M.Parra vs H.Bailey Reds 56.52% 54.18% CIN 5-4
DBacks Marlins B.Buckner vs J.Johnson Marlins 65.64% 69.31% FLA 8-0
Pirates Phillies Z.Duke vs R.Halladay Phillies 76.69% 73.22% PIT 2-1
Mets Braves J.Santana vs K.Medlan Mets 52.15% 42.64% ATL 3-2
Rockies Cubs J.Chacin vs C.Silva Cubs 53.49% 54.91% CHN 6-2
Nationals Cardinals J.Lannan vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 72.22% 63.87% STL 3-2
Giants Padres J.Sanchez vs M.Latos Padres 51.46% 47.62% SF 7-6
Twins Blue Jays C.Pavano vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 53.92% 50.55% TOR 11-2
White Sox Tigers F.Garcia vs R.Porcello Tigers 56.52% 54.42% CHA 6-2
Indians Rays D.Huff vs D.Price Rays 70.59% 72.83% TB 6-2
Royals Orioles Z.Greinke vs K.Millwood Royals 52.15% 55.98% BAL 4-3
Red Sox Yankees J.Beckett vs C.Sabathia Yankees 64.91% 58.29% BOS 7-6
Angels Rangers J.Weaver vs C.Wilson Rangers 54.95% 61.74% TEX 8-7
Mariners A's F.Hernandez vs B.Sheets Mariners 56.14% 52.04% OAK 6-5

Current ROI: 1.95%

MLB Scoreboard

Sunday, May 16, 2010

Backseat To Purple And Gold



May 17th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Astros Dodgers W.Rodriguez vs J.Ely Dodgers 61.39% 54.81% LAN 6-2
Pirates Phillies C.Morton vs K.Kendrick Phillies 68.05% 63.15% PHI 12-2
DBacks Marlins E.Jackson vs C.Volstad Marlins 59.18% 56.77% ARI 5-1
Brewers Reds Y.Gallardo vs J.Cueto Reds 50.74% 50.85% CIN 6-3
Mets Braves M.Pelfrey vs D.Lowe Braves 57.63% 56.86% NYN 3-2
Rockies Cubs A.Cook vs R.Wells Cubs 57.98% 59.72% CHN 4-2
Nationals Cardinals C.Stammen vs K.Lohse Cardinals 60.78% 55.34% STL 6-2
Giants Padres M.Cain vs C.Richard Giants 53.92% 46.06% SD 3-1
Royals Orioles K.Davies vs B.Bergesen Orioles 56.52% 53.46% KC 4-3
White Sox Tigers F.Garcia vs R.Porcello Tigers 57.81% 53.48% Ppd
Red Sox Yankees D.Matsuzaka vs P.Hughes Yankees 65.28% 66.89% NYA 11-9
Twins Blue Jays K.Slowey vs D.Eveland Twins 53.49% 43.94% MIN 8-3
Indians Rays F.Carmona vs J.Niemann Rays 66.67% 63.94% TB 4-3
Angels Rangers S.Kazmir vs D.Holland Rangers 57.98% 56.01% TEX 4-3
Mariners A's R.Smith vs G.Gonzalez A's 57.98% 63.93% OAK 8-4

Current ROI: 1.99%

MLB Scoreboard

Saturday, May 15, 2010

Home Sweet San Diego



May 16th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Padres C.Billingsley vs W.LeBlanc Dodgers 52.15% 47.88% LAN 1-0
Mets Marlins J.Niese vs R.Nolasco Marlins 63.24% 63.14% FLA 10-8
Cardinals Reds B.Penny vs B.Arroyo Cardinals 55.56% 53.21% CIN 7-2
DBacks Braves D.Haren vs T.Hudson Braves 54.13% 51.58% ATL 13-1
Pirates Cubs R.Ohlendorf vs T.Lilly Cubs 70.15% 63.32% CHN 4-3
Nationals Rockies S.Olsen vs J.Francis Rockies 56.71% 51.94% COL 2-1
Astros Giants B.Myers vs B.Zito Giants 62.55% 64.57% SF 4-3
Red Sox Tigers J.Lackey vs A.Galarraga Red Sox 59.18% 57.28% DET 5-1
Twins Yankees N.Blackburn vs S.Mitre Yankees 57.81% 52.94% MIN 6-3
Rangers Blue Jays C.Lewis vs B.Morrow Rangers 53.49% 44.48% TOR 5-2
Indians Orioles J.Westbrook vs D.Hernandez Indians 53.05% 44.13% CLE 5-1
Mariners Rays C.Lee vs M.Garza Rays 57.81% 53.32% TB 2-1
White Sox Royals G.Floyd vs B.Bannister White Sox 51.22% 53.56% KC 5-3
A's Angels T.Cahill vs J.Pineiro Angels 60.78% 67.61% LAA 4-0

Current ROI: 2.10%

Live Betting

Friday, May 14, 2010

The War Of 18-17



May 15th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Padres C.Kershaw vs K.Correia Dodgers 54.75% 53.17% LAN 4-1
Pirates Cubs P.Maholm vs R.Dempster Cubs 68.75% 66.53% PIT 4-3
Nationals Rockies L.Hernandez vs U.Jimenez Rockies 70.93% 69.29% COL 6-2
Astros Giants R.Oswalt vs T.Lincecum Giants 68.15% 63.60% SF 2-1
Phillies Brewers J.Blanton vs C.Narveson Brewers 51.69% 50.99% PHI 10-6
Cardinals Reds A.Wainwright vs M.Leake Cardinals 59.51% 59.48% CIN 4-3
DBacks Braves R.Lopez vs T.Hanson Braves 67.21% 68.79% ARI 11-1
Mets Marlins J.Maine vs N.Robertson Marlins 53.70% 57.98% FLA 7-5
Nationals Rockies L.Atilano vs J.Hammel Rockies 60.63% 63.40% COL 4-3
Twins Yankees F.Liriano vs A.Pettitte Yankees 56.33% 55.26% NYA 7-1
Rangers Blue Jays S.Feldman vs R.Romero Blue Jays 57.98% 63.92% TOR 6-0
Mariners Rays J.Vargas vs J.Shields Rays 67.21% 60.03% TB 2-1
Red Sox Tigers J.lester vs D.Willis Red Sox 60.63% 54.50% DET 7-6
Indians Orioles M.Talbot vs B.Matusz Orioles 57.45% 67.17% CLE 8-2
White Sox Royals J.Peavy vs L.Hochevar White Sox 57.45% 48.57% CHA 5-4
A's Angels J.Duchscherer vs E.Santana Angels 56.90% 58.54% LAA 12-3

Current ROI: 2.44%

Most Profitable MLB Teams To Bet On

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Little Pitcher In Big Game



May 14th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Padres R.Ortiz vs J.Garland Padres 57.45% 55.47% LAN 4-3
Pirates Cubs B.Buress vs T.Gorzelanny Cubs 66.67% 68.83% PIT 10-6
Mets Marlins O.Perez vs A.Sanchez Marlins 57.81% 60.88% FLA 7-2
Cardinals Reds J.Garcia vs A.Harang Cardinals 54.13% 53.49% STL 4-3
DBacks Braves I.Kennedy vs K.Kawakami Braves 55.75% 58.04% ATL 6-5
Phillies Brewers J.Blanton vs R.Wolf Brewers 54.75% 51.70% PHI 9-5
Nationals Rockies L.Hernandez vs U.Jimenez Rockies 69.88% 68.92% PPd
Astros Giants F.Paulino vs T.Wellemeyer Giants 58.16% 47.33% SF 8-2
Indians Orioles J.Masterson vs J.Guthrie Orioles 53.70% 52.84% BAL 8-1
Red Sox Tigers C.Buchholz vs M.Scherzer Red Sox 53.49% 51.49% BOS 7-2
Twins Yankees S.Baker vs A.Burnett Yankees 61.54% 57.14% NYA 8-4
Rangers Blue Jays R.Harden vs B.Cecil Blue Jays 51.46% 57.89% TOR 16-10
Mariners Rays D.Fister vs W.Davis Rays 63.24% 55.44% SEA 4-3
White Sox Royals M.Buehrle vs G.Meche White Sox 54.95% 53.30% KC 6-1
A's Angels D.Braden vs J.Saunders Angels 53.27% 43.86% LAA 4-0

Current ROI: 3.30%

Doc's Sports Betting Blog

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Resting at .500



May 13th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Astros Cardinals B.Norris vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 72.22% 66.12% HOU 4-1
Padres Giants M.Latos vs J.Sanchez Giants 60.32% 65.77% SD 1-0
Mets Marlins J.Santana vs J.Johnson Marlins 54.55% 59.16% FLA 2-1
Nationals Rockies J.Lannan vs J.Chacin Rockies 65.16% 58.75% TBD
Yankees Tigers C.Sabathia vs J.Verlander Yankees 55.56% 47.91% DET 6-0
Mariners Orioles F.Hernandez vs K.Millwood Mariners 56.52% 48.66% BAL 6-5
A's Rangers B.Sheets vs C.Wilson Rangers 62.26% 70.92% TEX 2-1
Indians Royals D.Huff vs Z.Greinke Royals 65.52% 69.13% KC 6-4

Current ROI: 2.03%

Probable Pitchers

Desert Hospitality



May 12th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers DBacks H.Kuroda vs E.Jackson Dodgers 52.83% 57.85% LAN 6-3
Reds Pirates H.Bailey vs Z.Duke Pirates 52.15% 52.58% CIN 5-0
Braves Brewers D.Lowe vs Y.Gallardo Brewers 61.24% 58.58% ATL 9-2
Nationals Mets C.Stammen vs M.Pelfrey Mets 61.83% 56.07% WAS 6-4
Marlins Cubs C.Volstad vs C.Silva Cubs 54.13% 57.53% CHN 4-3
Phillies Rockies R.Halladay vs A.Cook Phillies 62.96% 59.39% COL 4-3
Phillies Rockies J.Moyer vs J.Hammel Phillies 51.92% 42.29% Ppd
Astros Cardinals W.Rodriguez vs K.Lohse Cardinals 63.10% 54.54% HOU 9-6
Padres Giants C.Richard vs M.Cain Giants 63.10% 58.43% SD 5-2
Yankees Tigers J.Vazquez vs R.Porcello Yankees 58.51% 51.69% DET 2-0
Yankees Tigers P.Hughes vs J.Bonderman Yankees 62.69% 60.47% NYA 8-0
White Sox Twins J.Danks vs C.Pavano Twins 56.90% 55.49% MIN 3-2
Blue Jays Red Sox S.Marcum vs T.Wakefield Red Sox 51.22% 50.69% TOR 3-2
Rays Angels D.Price vs J.Weaver Angels 51.22% 52.73% TB 4-3
Mariners Orioles R.Smith vs B.Bergessen Orioles 52.15% 54.18% BAL 5-2
A's Rangers G.Gonzalez vs D.Holland Rangers 54.75% 46.82% TEX 10-1
Indians Royals F.Carmona vs K.Davies Royals 50.74% 54.37% CLE 4-0

Current ROI: 1.94%

Probable Pitchers

Monday, May 10, 2010

Ely Man II



May 11th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers DBacks J.Ely vs D.Haren DBacks 60.78% 58.55% LAN 13-3
Reds Pirates J.Cueto vs C.Morton Reds 54.55% 50.69% CIN 9-0
Nationals Mets S.Olsen vs J.Niese Mets 57.26% 52.35% NYN 8-6
Marlins Cubs R.Nolasco vs R.Wells Cubs 52.15% 60.97% FLA 3-2
Braves Brewers T.Hudson vs D.Bush Braves 53.27% 50.89% ATL 11-3
Astros Cardinals B.Myers vs B.Penny Cardinals 68.25% 66.08% HOU 6-3
Phillies Rockies R.Halladay vs A.Cook Phillies 63.24% 59.12% Ppd
Padres Giants W.LeBlanc vs B.Zito Giants 60.00% 59.45% SD 3-2
Mariners Orioles C.Lee vs D.Hernandez Mariners 59.35% 59.69% SEA 5-1
Yankees Tigers J.Vazquez vs R.Porcello Yankees 56.52% 51.53% Ppd
Blue Jays Red Sox D.Eveland vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 62.41% 50.87% BOS 6-1
A's Rangers T.Cahill vs C.Lewis Rangers 62.69% 59.41% OAK 7-6
White Sox Twins F.Garcia vs K.Slowey Twins 61.54% 53.40% CHA 5-2
Indians Royals J.Westbrook vs B.Bannister Royals 51.22% 56.48% CLE 8-2
Rays Angels J.Niemann vs S.Kazmir Rays 52.38% 52.34% TB 7-2

Current ROI: 2.01%

Probable Pitchers

Sunday, May 09, 2010

In The Zona



May 10th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers DBacks C.Billingsley vs R.Lopez Dodgers 54.13% 55.80% LAN 7-3
Reds Pirates B.Arroyo vs R.Ohlendorf Reds 53.05% 52.40% CIN 2-1
Nationals Mets L.Atilano vs J.Maine Mets 60.63% 52.96% WAS 3-2
Marlins Cubs N.Robertson vs T.Lilly Cubs 60.00% 64.57% FLA 4-2
Braves Brewers T.Hanson vs D.Davis Braves 56.52% 50.91% ATL 8-2
Phillies Rockies K.Kendrick vs G.Smith Rockies 51.69% 52.11% PHI 9-5
Yankees Tigers S.Mitre vs D.Willis Yankees 54.13% 48.99% DET 5-4
Blue Jays Red Sox B.Morrow vs J.Lackey Red Sox 62.55% 60.93% BOS 7-6
Rays Angels M.Garza vs J.Pineiro Rays 58.85% 46.41% LAA 5-4

Current ROI: 1.97%

Probable Pitchers

Saturday, May 08, 2010

Kerplunk



May 9th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Rockies Dodgers U.Jimenez vs C.Kershaw Rockies 54.55% 47.36% LAN 2-0

Current ROI: 1.97%

Today's Scoreboard

Friday, May 07, 2010

Manny Reasons For Dodgers Fans To Be Happy



May 8th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Rockies Dodgers J.Chacin vs C.Haeger Dodgers 52.61% 54.92% COL 8-0

Current ROI (as of Friday): 1.97%

Fangraphs unveils great new stat.

Thursday, May 06, 2010

Rockies vs Dodgers - Simulation



May 7th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Rockies Dodgers E.Rogers vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 62.12% 62.80% LAN 6-5
Cardinals Pirates C.Carpenter vs Z.Duke Cardinals 68.25% 60.38% STL 4-3
Braves Phillies D.Lowe vs J.Moyer Phillies 55.75% 53.72% PHI 7-0
Marlins Nationals C.Volstad vs C.Stammen Marlins 53.27% 43.25% FLA 4-2
Giants Mets J.Sanchez vs M.Pelfrey Mets 53.70% 49.03% NYN 6-4
Cubs Reds C.Silva vs H.Bailey Reds 50.74% 52.78% CHN 14-7
Padres Astros M.Latos vs B.Norris Padres 54.13% 38.57% SD 7-0
Brewers DBacks Y.Gallardo vs E.Jackson Brewers 55.56% 53.06% MIL 3-2
Tigers Indians J.Bonderman vs D.Huff Tigers 50.74% 52.56% PPD
Yankees Red Sox P.Hughes vs J.Beckett Red Sox 51.69% 52.17% NYA 10-3
Royals Rangers Z.Greinke vs C.Wilson Rangers 54.34% 55.49% TEX 4-1
Orioles Twins K.Millwood vs F.Liriano Twins 69.14% 66.44% PPD
Blue Jays White Sox S.Marcum vs M.Buehrle White Sox 51.92% 50.43% TOR 7-4
Rays A's D.Price vs G.Gonzalez Rays 59.68% 51.31% TB 4-1
Angels Mariners J.Weaver vs F.Hernandez Mariners 58.51% 55.38% LAA 8-0

Current ROI (as of Wednesday): 1.97%

Look at the score updated LA Dodgers schedule includes winning and losing pitchers for each team.

Wednesday, May 05, 2010

Home Cooking Ails Dodgers



May 6th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Brewers Dodgers D.Bush vs J.Ely Dodgers 54.95% 57.82% LAN 7-3
Cardinals Phillies K.Lohse vs R.Halladay Phillies 69.23% 61.61% PHI 7-2
Cubs Pirates R.Wells vs Z.Duke Cubs 59.18% 61.72% PIT 11-1
Braves Nationals T.Hudson vs S.Olsen Braves 57.08% 47.98% WAS 3-2
Giants Marlins M.Cain vs R.Nolasco Marlins 55.36% 51.86% SF 6-3
DBacks Astros D.Haren vs W.Rodriguez DBacks 56.33% 45.23% ARI 6-3
Angels Red Sox S.Kazmir vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 57.45% 50.82% BOS 11-6
Royals Rangers K.Davies vs M.Harrison Rangers 59.35% 54.32% TEX 13-12
Orioles Twins B.Bergesen vs C.Pavano Twins 69.60% 69.09% BAL 2-0
Blue Jays White Sox D.Eveland vs J.Danks White Sox 64.79% 56.41% TOR 2-0
Rays Mariners J.Niemann vs R.Smith Rays 57.63% 57.98% TB 8-0

Current ROI (as of Wednesday): 2.05%

Check out the Sports Betting Champ system review at Doc's Sports.

Converting From A Win Percentage To A Money Line


I was recently asked if there was a formula for converting a win percentage to a Money Line. For example, if we think a team has a 65% chance of winning a game, what would the "fair" money line be for that game?

Money lines are generally given as a negative number for the favorite and a positive number for the underdog. There are cases that both teams will be listed with a negative number if the odds are very even and there is juice on the game. A site that has a dime juice, will have the money line listed as -105/-105 on a 50/50 game. Without the juice, both teams would be listed as +100 or -100 (same thing).

Now back to our request for a formula for converting from win percentage to money line. Since the favorite will be listed as a negative number and the underdog as a positive number, we have to use two similar but slightly different formulas. One for the favorite and one for the underdog.

Depending on what type of juice you’d be expecting you’d add/subtract an offset in. With a dime juice you’d subtract a nickel (from -150 to -155) from the favorite and subtract a nickel from the dog too (+150 to +145). Let's ignore the juice for now, as it can easily be added in at the end of the process.

P = Probability of the team winning
X = Money Line (not adjusted for juice)

Favorites: X = -100P / (1 – P)

Underdog X = (100 – 100P) / P

Example, Team A has a 65% chance of winning and Team B has a 35% chance of winning.

ML for Team A would be:
= (-100 * .65) / (1 – .65)
= -65 / .35
= -185.7

ML for Team B would be:
= (100 – (100 * .35)) / .35
= (100 – 35) / .35
= 65 / .35
= +185.7

Let's round it off a little bit and call this a -186/+186 game. So if a team was listed on the money line as -186 favorite (with no juice) they would have a 65% chance of winning according to the money line. If you were to add a dime juice to this line you would end up with something like -191/+181. But keep in mind that juice tends to increase as a team becomes a larger and larger favorite.

Feel free to use my handy Money Line to Win Percentage Calculator, via Google Docs.

Bad To The Bone



May 5th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Brewers Dodgers D.Davis vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 64.66% 63.88% LAN 11-3
Mets Reds J.Niese vs J.Cueto Reds 55.16% 51.61% CIN 5-4
Cubs Pirates T.Lilly vs C.Morton Cubs 60.00% 58.31% PIT 4-2
Cardinals Phillies B.Penny vs K.Kendrick Cardinals 53.05% 54.25% PHI 4-0
Braves Nationals T.Hanson vs L.Atilano Braves 58.33% 55.78% ATL 7-6
Giants Marlins B.Zito vs N.Robertson Giants 56.52% 56.87% SF 3-2
DBacks Astros R.Lopez vs B.Myers DBacks 50.01% 50.48% HOU 4-2
Rockies Padres A.Cook vs C.Richard Padres 53.92% 55.77% COL 6-5
Blue Jays Indians B.Morrow vs F.Carmona Indians 53.70% 53.48% TOR 5-4
Orioles Yankees D.Hernandez vs A.Pettitte Yankees 73.68% 68.61% NYA 7-5
Tigers Twins R.Porcello vs K.Slowey Twins 60.32% 56.90% MIN 5-4
Rangers A's C.Lewis vs T.Cahill Rangers 55.75% 48.82% OAK 4-1
Angels Red Sox J.Pineiro vs J.Lackey Red Sox 62.26% 50.48% BOS 3-1
Royals White Sox B.Bannister vs F.Garcia White Sox 57.26% 57.02% CHA 9-2
Rays Mariners M.Garza vs C.Lee Rays 51.46% 48.30% TB 8-3

Current ROI (as of Tuesday): 3.22%

View Doc's Sports baseball betting system for more infomation about picking winners.

Monday, May 03, 2010

The Chronicles Of Narveson



May 4th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Brewers Dodgers C.Narveson vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 65.52% 69.81% MIL 11-6
Cubs Pirates R.Dempster vs P.Maholm Cubs 59.35% 57.10% PIT 3-2
Cardinals Phillies A.Wainwright vs C.Hamels Cardinals 50.98% 54.08% PHI 2-1
Braves Nationals K.Kawakami vs L.Hernandez Braves 51.69% 48.01% WAS 6-3
Mets Reds J.Maine vs B.Arroyo Reds 56.33% 59.34% NYN 5-4
Giants Marlins T.Lincecum vs A.Sanchez Giants 62.69% 60.06% SF 9-6
DBacks Astros I.Kennedy vs R.Oswalt Astros 52.38% 61.64% ARI 1-0
Rockies Padres G.Smith vs W.LeBlanc Padres 56.33% 59.07% SD 3-2
Blue Jays Indians R.Romero vs J.Westbrook Blue Jays 54.34% 54.96% TOR 8-5
Orioles Yankees B.Matusz vs A.Burnett Yankees 68.75% 62.21% NYA 4-1
Angels Red Sox E.Santana vs J.Lester Red Sox 63.24% 63.78% BOS 5-1
Tigers Twins D.Willis vs N.Blackburn Twins 56.33% 52.65% MIN 4-3
Royals White Sox L.Hochevar vs G.Floyd White Sox 62.96% 60.06% KC 7-2
Rangers A's S.Feldman vs V.Mazzaro Rangers 50.98% 52.65% OAK 7-6
Rays Mariners J.Shields vs J.Vargas Rays 56.14% 50.61% TB 5-2

Current ROI (as of Monday): 5.12%

Check out a list of sports betting systems that work all at Doc's Sports.

Sabathia, Yanks Huge Favorites Today



May 3rd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Cardinals Phillies J.Garcia vs J.Blanton Cardinals 52.61% 52.33% STL 6-3
Mets Reds O.Perez vs M.Leake Reds 58.16% 54.19% CIN 3-2
DBacks Astros C.Valdez vs F.Paulino Astros 51.46% 57.15% ARI 9-1
Rockies Padres U.Jimenez vs K.Correia Rockies 57.26% 54.31% COL 5-2
Blue Jays Indians B.Cecil vs M.Talbot Indians 52.38% 50.18% TOR 5-1
Orioles Yankees J.Guthrie vs C.Sabathia Yankees 75.00% 68.48% NYA 4-1
Angels Red Sox J.Saunders vs C.Buchholz Red Sox 62.55% 60.51% BOS 17-8
Royals White Sox G.Meche vs J.Peavy White Sox 63.37% 61.86% CHA 5-1
Tigers Twins M.Scherzer vs S.Baker Twins 56.90% 58.89% MIN 10-4
Rangers A's R.Harden vs D.Braden A's 57.26% 60.38% TEX 4-2

Current ROI (as of Saturday): 6.53%

BtB Prediction Contest

Saturday, May 01, 2010

Undefeated In May



May 2nd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Pirates Dodgers J.Karstens vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 70.67% 65.38% LAN 9-3
Nationals Marlins J.Lannan vs J.Johnson Marlins 65.87% 62.28% FLA 9-3
Astros Braves B.Norris vs D.Lowe Braves 62.83% 56.24% ATL 7-1
Reds Cardinals A.Harang vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 70.59% 65.34% STL 6-0
DBacks Cubs E.Jackson vs T.Gorzelanny Cubs 59.18% 61.63% CHN 10-5
Brewers Padres R.Wolf vs J.Garland Brewers 51.69% 48.51% SD 8-0
Rockies Giants J.Chacin vs J.Sanchez Giants 61.09% 64.56% COL 4-1
Mets Phillies J.Santana vs J.Moyer Mets 56.71% 53.34% PHI 11-5
Twins Indians F.Liriano vs D.Huff Twins 60.63% 54.66% MIN 8-3
Angels Tigers J.Weaver vs J.Verlander Tigers 54.55% 54.48% DET 5-1
White Sox Yankees M.Buehrle vs P.Hughes Yankees 66.78% 58.03% NYA 12-3
A's Blue Jays B.Sheets vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 57.81% 61.55% TOR 9-3
Red Sox Orioles J.Beckett vs K.Millwood Red Sox 59.18% 50.77% BAL 3-2
Royals Rays Z.Greinke vs W.Davis Rays 56.52% 48.05% TB 1-0
Rangers Mariners C.Wilson vs D.Fister Mariners 52.15% 49.59% TEX 3-1

Current ROI (as of Saturday): 8.37%