Thursday, July 31, 2008

Simulations for Friday, August 1st

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers R.Johnson vs C.Kershaw DBacks -105 -103 7.5 44.07% 8.64/3 54%/8.6 DBacks
Pirates vs Cubs J.Karstens vs J.Marquis Cubs -225 +207 9.5 61.71% 10.11/3 73%/10.8 Pirates
A's vs Red Sox J.Duchscherer vs T.Wakefield Red Sox -136 +128 8.5 59.56% 9.52/3 53%/8.0 Red Sox
Angels vs Yankees E.Santana vs S.Ponson Angels -105 -103 10.0 42.12% 9.76/1 55%/11.3 Angels
Rockies vs Marlins U.Jimenez vs C.Volstad Marlins -104 -104 9.0 56.33% 8.82/7 54%/9.6 Rockies
Tigers vs Rays Z.Miner vs S.Kazmir Rays -181 +173 8.5 64.84% 8.89/7 58%/9.6 Rays
Brewers vs Braves J.Suppan vs C.James Brewers -123 +115 9.5 56.43% 9.54/9 58%/9.8 Brewers
Reds vs Nationals H.Bailey vs O.Perez Nationals -110 +102 9.5 57.95% 8.95/7 56%/10.8 Nationals
Blue Jays vs Rangers S.Marcum vs T.Hunter Rangers -110 +102 11.0 58.43% 10.14/17 57%/10.5 Rangers
Mets vs Astros P.Martinez vs B.Backe Mets -115 +107 9.5 48.54% 9.58/10 47%/10.5 Astros
Indians vs Twins J.Sowers vs N.Blackburn Twins -160 +152 9.0 59.92% 8.00/5 65%/9.3 Twins
White Sox vs Royals J.Vazquez vs L.Hochevar White Sox -124 +116 9.0 51.43% 9.21/6 59%/10.1 White Sox
Phillies vs Cardinals C.Hamels vs K.Lohse Phillies -126 +118 8.0 48.50% 8.03/9 57%/8.5 Cardinals
Giants vs Padres T.Lincecum vs J.Banks Giants -130 +122 7.0 53.75% 6.56/5 49%/8.3 Giants
Orioles vs Mariners G.Olson vs J.Washburn Mariners -120 +112 9.0 53.54% 8.76/15 59%/10.4 Orioles
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2405 $634 $5914 18.28%
AccuScore $2728 $526 $9791 95.82%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): LAD($263), Pit($211), Bos($114), NYY($362), Fla($272), Was($292), Tex($375), Hou($152), KC($105), Stl($259)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Ari($142), Oak($139), LAA($193), Fla($154), Det($211), Mil($158), Was($190), Tex($371), Hou($226), Min($225), CWS($204), SD($270), Sea($245)

Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, July 31st

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers B.Webb vs D.Lowe Dodgers -105 -103 6.5 52.37% 7.89/3 55%/7.5 DBacks
Cubs vs Brewers R.Harden vs D.Bush Cubs -138 +130 7.5 43.91% 9.57/15 52%/8.1 Cubs
Cardinals vs Braves J.Pineiro vs M.Hampton Cardinals -114 +106 10.0 44.08% 8.05/13 57%/9.3 Braves
Phillies vs Nationals K.Kendrick vs J.Lannan Phillies -124 +116 8.5 49.88% 8.99/12 57%/9.5 Phillies
Rockies vs Marlins J.DeLaRosa vs A.Sanchez Marlins -117 +109 9.5 53.94% 9.45/14 51%/10.8 Marlins
Tigers vs Indians J.Verlander vs F.Carmona Tigers -128 +120 9.0 50.37% 8.68/13 57%/9.8 Indians
Angels vs Yankees J.Garland vs A.Pettitte Yankees -159 +151 9.5 64.35% 9.80/18 61%/10.4 Angels
Mariners vs Rangers R.Dickey vs M.Harrison Rangers -145 +137 12.0 58.33% 10.79/13 55%/13.2 Mariners
White Sox vs Twins J.Danks vs S.Baker Twins -117 +109 8.0 50.05% 7.84/16 55%/8.9 Twins
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1393 -$235 $6149 22.98%
AccuScore $713 -$426 $10217 104.34%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Mil($375), Atl($358), Was($178), Cle($191), NYY($191), CWS($100)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($193), Mil($200), Stl($199), Sea($121)

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, July 30th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Giants vs Dodgers J.Sanchez vs C.Billingsley Dodgers -172 +164 7.5 59.31% 8.06/4 68%/8.7 Dodgers
Rockies vs Pirates A.Cook vs Z.Duke Rockies -142 +134 9.0 51.84% 9.01/11 62%/10.2 Rockies
Angels vs Red Sox J.Saunders vs J.Beckett Red Sox -170 +162 8.5 63.27% 9.93/11 59%/9.0 Angels
Tigers vs Indians N.Robertson vs C.Lee Indians -150 +142 9.5 54.87% 8.30/26 56%/9.8 Tigers
Orioles vs Yankees D.Sarfate vs J.Chamberlain Yankees -270 +250 9.5 62.32% 8.50/16 75%/10.7 Yankees
Rays vs Blue Jays E.Jackson vs S.Richmond Rays -111 +103 9.5 44.31% 10.15/5 44%/10.2 Rays
Cardinals vs Braves C.Carpenter vs J.Jurrjens Braves -124 +116 9.0 52.78% 7.75/9 49%/8.4 Cardinals
Mets vs Marlins M.Pelfrey vs J.Johnson Mets -124 +116 9.0 45.70% 9.09/12 50%/9.8 Marlins
Reds vs Astros E.Volquez vs W.Rodriguez Astros -111 +103 8.5 60.72% 8.10/14 56%/9.0 Reds
Cubs vs Brewers R.Dempster vs M.Parra Brewers -109 +101 8.5 61.50% 9.77/9 51%/9.8 Cubs
Mariners vs Rangers M.Batista vs V.Padilla Rangers -174 +166 10.5 64.66% 10.29/7 67%/11.7 Rangers
White Sox vs Twins G.Floyd vs L.Hernandez White Sox -109 +101 10.5 52.50% 8.59/11 50%/10.8 White Sox
DBacks vs Padres D.Haren vs C.Baek DBacks -133 +125 7.0 50.97% 6.71/10 58%/8.2 DBacks
Royals vs A's B.Bannister vs S.Gallagher A's -129 +121 8.5 51.35% 8.18/7 50%/9.1 Royals
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2279 -$741 $6890 37.80%
AccuScore $2296 $1086 $9132 82.64%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): SF($113), Pit($236), Det($162), Bal($318), Tor($316), Fla($372), Hou($375), Mil($375), SD($206), KC($155)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($324), Col($201), LAA($114), Det($114), NYY($187), Tor($332), Stl($218), Fla($172), Hou($179), Tex($239), KC($216)

Monday, July 28, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, July 29th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Giants vs Dodgers M.Cain vs J.Johnson Dodgers -123 +115 7.5 49.20% 7.98/2 59%/8.2 Dodgers
Rockies vs Pirates G.Rusch vs Y.Herrera Rockies -125 +117 10.0 48.64% 9.41/10 58%/11.1 Pirates
Angels vs Red Sox J.Lackey vs C.Buchholz Red Sox -107 -101 9.0 58.65% 9.79/8 45%/10.2 Angels
Tigers vs Indians A.Galarraga vs M.Ginter Tigers -117 +109 10.0 56.19% 9.27/13 52%/9.5 Tigers
Orioles vs Yankees D.Cabrera vs D.Rasner Yankees -161 +153 10.5 60.38% 9.82/13 67%/11.0 Orioles
Rays vs Blue Jays M.Garza vs R.Halladay Blue Jays -149 +141 7.5 59.80% 9.45/3 64%/8.4 Rays
Cardinals vs Braves T.Wellemeyer vs J.Campillo Braves -116 +108 9.5 55.01% 7.82/11 57%/8.9 Cardinals
Mets vs Marlins O.Perez vs S.Olsen Mets -116 +108 9.0 48.14% 9.67/5 48%/10.1 Mets
Reds vs Astros B.Arroyo vs B.Moehler Astros -107 -101 9.5 62.11% 9.03/8 56%/9.2 Astros
Cubs vs Brewers C.Zambrano vs B.Sheets Brewers -116 +108 7.5 62.53% 9.31/8 57%/8.8 Cubs
Mariners vs Rangers C.Silva vs L.Mendoza Rangers -135 +127 11.0 62.42% 10.38/21 52%/12.1 Rangers
White Sox vs Twins C.Richard vs G.Perkins Twins -122 +114 9.5 53.00% 8.82/11 59%/10.8 Twins
DBacks vs Padres D.Davis vs C.Young Padres -125 +117 7.5 52.22% 7.04/3 58%/8.6 DBacks
Royals vs A's G.Meche vs G.Smith A's -114 +106 7.5 54.54% 8.01/7 49%/8.6 Royals
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2201 -$161 $7051 41.02%
AccuScore $2607 -$681 $9812 96.24%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): SF($200), Pit($244), Bos($360), Det($123), Fla($182), Hou($400), Mil($400), Tex($292)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($204), Col($137), LAA($238), NYY($346), Tor($259), Atl($178), Fla($188), Hou($223), Mil($178), Sea($176), Min($224), SD($137), KC($119)

Sunday, July 27, 2008

Simulations for Monday, July 28th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Giants vs Dodgers K.Correia vs H.Kuroda Dodgers -191 +180 8.0 60.89% 8.45/13 68%/8.5 Giants
Rockies vs Pirates V.DeLosSantos vs I.Snell Rockies -107 -101 9.5 47.18% 9.36/12 53%/10.6 Pirates
Angels vs Red Sox J.Weaver vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox -156 +148 9.0 59.35% 10.20/12 53%/10.3 Angels
Tigers vs Indians K.Rogers vs P.Byrd Tigers -116 +108 10.5 56.91% 9.41/5 51%/10.2 Indians
Orioles vs Yankees J.Guthrie vs M.Mussina Yankees -162 +154 9.0 61.14% 9.64/17 65%/9.0 Orioles
Rays vs Blue Jays J.Shields vs A.Burnett Blue Jays -112 +104 7.5 45.42% 9.43/4 47%/8.3 Blue Jays
Cardinals vs Braves B.Looper vs C.Morton Cardinals -109 +101 9.5 45.89% 8.47/15 54%/9.3 Cardinals
Mets vs Marlins J.Maine vs R.Nolasco Mets -116 +108 9.0 44.69% 8.96/10 49%/8.9 Marlins
Reds vs Astros J.Cueto vs R.Oswalt Astros -150 +142 8.5 64.30% 8.74/9 65%/9.2 Astros
Cubs vs Brewers T.Lilly vs C.Sabathia Brewers -169 +161 7.5 63.25% 9.98/10 66%/8.4 Cubs
Mariners vs Rangers F.Hernandez vs S.Feldman Mariners -107 -101 9.5 37.83% 9.93/12 47%/10.7 Mariners
White Sox vs Twins M.Buehrle vs K.Slowey Twins -111 +103 8.5 49.20% 7.88/7 51%/9.2 Twins
DBacks vs Padres M.Owings vs G.Maddux Padres -114 +106 8.0 54.21% 6.75/13 51%/8.3 Padres
Royals vs A's Z.Greinke vs D.Braden A's -116 +108 8.5 53.28% 8.22/6 48%/9.5 Royals
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2131 -$388 $7439 48.78%
AccuScore $1856 $46 $9767 95.34%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): SF($111), Det($174), TB($273), Atl($217), Fla($349), Hou($270), Tex($608), Pit($129)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($174), LAA($277), NYY($209)TB($195), Fla($141), Hou($317), Mil($216), Tex($138), KC($189)

Saturday, July 26, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, July 27th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Nationals vs Dodgers J.Bergmann vs C.Kershaw Dodgers -153 +145 8.5 60.23% 8.82/2 54%/9.6 Dodgers
Marlins vs Cubs R.VandenHurk vs J.Marquis Cubs -168 +160 TBD 54.98% 10.53/15 TBD Cubs
Padres vs Pirates J.Peavy vs P.Maholm Padres -119 +111 7.5 43.67% 7.81/4 51%/8.6 Padres
Braves vs Phillies J.Campillo vs J.Blanton Phillies -139 +131 9.5 56.65% 9.25/22 55%/8.7 Phillies
Rockies vs Reds U.Jimenez vs J.Fogg Rockies -130 +122 9.5 55.60% 10.03/11 52%/9.7 Rockies
Cardinals vs Mets K.Lohse vs J.Santana Mets -174 +166 7.5 57.31% 7.98%/10 64%/8.0 Mets
Angels vs Orioles E.Santana vs G.Olson Angels -138 +130 9.5 55.02% 9.96/7 63%/10.8 Orioles
Yankees vs Red Sox S.Ponson vs J.Lester Red Sox -163 +155 10.0 62.80% 10.27/11 65%/11.2 Red Sox
Twins vs Indians N.Blackburn vs J.Sowers Twins -104 -104 9.5 52.35% 9.15/6 55%/10.4 Twins
White Sox vs Tigers J.Vazquez vs Z.Miner Tigers -120 +112 10.0 50.57% 9.11/10 50%/11.0 Tigers
Mariners vs Blue Jays J.Washburn vs S.Marcum Blue Jays -164 +156 9.0 63.87% 9.31/6 63%/8.6 Mariners
Astros vs Brewers R.Wolf vs J.Suppan Brewers -160 +152 9.0 62.83% 9.78/17 56%/9.8 Astros
Rays vs Royals A.Sonnanstine vs K.Davies Rays -131 +123 9.5 56.82% 9.52/7 58%/10.6 Royals
Rangers vs A's E.Hurley vs D.Eveland A's -119 +111 9.0 53.64% 8.91/11 49%/9.9 A's
DBacks vs Giants R.Johnson vs B.Zito DBacks -134 +126 8.0 47.39% 7.76/9 61%/9.0 DBacks
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1372 -$1372 $8811 76.22%
AccuScore $2000 -$442 $10209 104.18%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Fla($263), Pit($426), Stl($202), CWS($107), SF($374)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Was($217), Atl($251), Cin($122), LAA($302), Bos($200), Min($205), CWS($134), Hou($178), Tex($171), Ari($220)

Friday, July 25, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, July 26th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Nationals vs Dodgers O.Perez vs D.Lowe Dodgers -211 +193 7.5 62.53% 8.54/6 70%/8.5 Dodgers
Marlins vs Cubs C.Volstad vs R.Harden Cubs -240 +222 TBD 54.42% 8.85/5 64%/8.5 Marlins
Padres vs Pirates J.Banks vs J.BenSchoten Padres -104 -104 10.0 50.07% 9.40/15 54%/11.3 Padres
Braves vs Phillies M.Hampton vs C.Hamels Phillies -214 +196 9.0 58.91% 8.88/19 72%/8.8 Phillies
Rockies vs Reds J.DeLaRosa vs H.Bailey Reds -115 +107 10.0 44.54% 10.35/6 51%/11.3 Rockies
Cardinals vs Mets J.Pineiro vs B.Knight Mets -127 +119 9.5 57.13% 8.27/18 59%/8.8 Cardinals
Angels vs Orioles J.Garland vs R.Liz Angels -123 +115 9.5 56.23% 10.56/17 58%/10.6 Angels
Yankees vs Red Sox A.Pettitte vs T.Wakefield Red Sox -113 +105 9.0 58.59% 10.01/13 53%/9.0 Yankees
Twins vs Indians S.Baker vs F.Carmona Indians -123 +115 8.0 56.66% 8.33/15 49%/9.0 Twins
White Sox vs Tigers J.Danks vs J.Verlander Tigers -146 +138 9.0 53.33% 9.25/13 62%/10.3 White Sox
Mariners vs Blue Jays R.Dickey vs D.Purcey Blue Jays TBD TBD 58.80% 9.40/11 TBD Blue Jays
Astros vs Brewers B.Backe vs D.Bush Brewers -159 +151 9.0 64.39% 10.01/10 65%/9.7 Brewers
Rays vs Royals S.Kazmir vs L.Hochever Rays -154 +146 8.0 53.85% 9.27/8 54%/9.1 Rays
Rangers vs A's M.Harrison vs J.Duchscherer A's -191 +180 8.0 61.76% 9.28/13 70%/9.2 Rangers
DBacks vs Giants B.Webb vs T.Lincecum DBacks -115 +107 6.5 46.61% 6.78/8 51%/7.8 DBacks
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2422 $724 $8087 61.74%
AccuScore $2297 $397 $9812 96.24%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Was($125), Fla($507), Atl($274), Col($347), Bos($297), CWS($200), Mil($196), KC($230), SF($246)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($169), Fla($176), SD($154), Phi($308), NYM($174), LAA($159), Min($210), Det($164), Mil($236), KC($224), Oak($323)

Thursday, July 24, 2008

Simulations for Friday, July 25th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Nationals vs Dodgers J.Lannan vs C.Billingsley Dodgers -177 +169 7.0 62.35% 8.31/5 64%/8.0 Dodgers
Marlins vs Cubs J.Johnson vs R.Dempster Cubs -173 +165 51.35% 9.79/5 68%/10.2 Marlins
Padres vs Pirates C.Baek vs Z.Duke Pirates -117 +109 9.5 56.88% 8.13/11 50%/10.7 Padres
Braves vs Phillies J.Jurrjens vs K.Kendrick Phillies -112 +104 9.5 56.42% 9.64/10 57%/8.9 Braves
Rockies vs Reds A.Cook vs E.Volquez Reds -139 +131 8.5 52.17% 8.94/9 51%/8.8 Rockies
Cardinals vs Mets M.Boggs vs M.Pelfrey Mets -163 +155 9.0 61.96% 8.64/9 66%/10.2 Mets
Angels vs Orioles J.Saunders vs B.Burres Angels -134 +126 9.0 54.02% 10.10/11 61%/10.2 Angels
Yankees vs Red Sox J.Chamberlain vs J.Beckett Red Sox -124 +116 8.0 57.52% 9.33/1 59%/8.6 Yankees
Twins vs Indians L.Hernandez vs C.Lee Indians -210 +192 8.5 65.82% 8.26/9 64%/9.3 Indians
White Sox vs Tigers G.Floyd vs N.Robertson Tigers -120 +112 10.5 52.47% 9.83/11 55%/11.3 White Sox
Mariners vs Blue Jays M.Batista vs J.Parrish Blue Jays -154 +146 9.0 64.56% 9.12/9 55%/10.2 Blue Jays
Astros vs Brewers W.Rodriguez vs M.Parra Brewers -159 +151 9.0 61.87% 9.44/4 62%/9.3 Astros
Rays vs Royals E.Jackson vs B.Bannister Rays -113 +105 9.0 47.23% 9.90/8 46%/10.4 Rays
Rangers vs A's V.Padilla vs S.Gallagher A's -122 +114 8.5 53.38% 9.08/20 51%/9.5 Rangers
DBacks vs Giants D.Haren vs J.Sanchez DBacks -133 +125 7.0 45.92% 7.24/12 62%/8.0 DBacks
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1985 $48 $8039 60.78%
AccuScore $2405 -$75 $9887 97.74%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Fla($438), Pit($160), Phi($190), Col($200), Bos($121), Tor($249), KC($194), SF($433)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): ChC($316), SD($103), Phi($220), Col($251), NYM($264), LAA($218), Bos($204), Sea($183), KC($254), Tex($106), Ari($286)

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, July 24th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Phillies vs Mets J.Moyer vs O.Perez Mets -125 +117 9.5 53.97% 8.75/4 50%/10.2 Mets
Blue Jays vs Orioles R.Halladay vs D.Cabrera Blue Jays -133 +125 8.0 49.80% 9.05/8 61%/9.2 Blue Jays
Nationals vs Giants T.Redding vs M.Cain Giants -138 +130 8.0 60.13% 7.45/1 62%/8.6 Giants
Padres vs Pirates C.Hensley vs Y.Herrera Padres -106 -102 10.5 45.39% 8.63/10 54%/11.8 Pirates
Marlins vs Cubs S.Olsen vs C.Zambrano Cubs -182 +174 TBD 61.08% 10.37/9 69%/10.4 Cubs
Rays vs Royals M.Garza vs G.Meche Rays -117 +109 8.5 40.65% 9.24/6 46%/9.6 Royals
Brewers vs Cardinals B.Sheets vs T.Wellemeyer Brewers -130 +122 8.0 48.73% 8.06/7 55%/8.9 Brewers
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1427 $354 $7685 53.70%
AccuScore $1387 $682 $9205 84.10%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Bal($259), SF($127), Pit($207), KC($551), Stl($283)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Phi($181), Tor($228), SF($239), SD($131), ChC($314), KC($294)

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, July 23rd

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies H.Kuroda vs G.Rusch Dodgers -111 +103 10.5 45.96% 10.13/8 49%/9.8 Rockies
Padres vs Reds G.Maddux vs B.Arroyo Reds -130 +122 9.0 51.26% 9.16/14 54%/8.4 Reds
Pirates vs Astros I.Snell vs B.Moehler Astros -128 +120 9.5 58.32% 9.14/15 60%/10.2 Pirates
A's vs Rays G.Smith vs J.Shields Rays -170 +162 7.5 58.09% 8.14/7 64%/8.1 Rays
Twins vs Yankees G.Perkins vs M.Mussina Yankees -149 +141 9.5 62.01% 9.12/6 61%/8.8 Yankees
Rangers vs White Sox K.Millwood vs C.Richard White Sox -113 +105 10.0 51.63% 11.35/18 57%/11.2 White Sox
Tigers vs Royals A.Galarraga vs Z.Greinke Royals -105 -103 9.5 54.48% 9.56/8 48%/10.1 Tigers
Indians vs Angels A.Laffey vs J.Lackey Angels -160 +152 8.0 60.57% 8.62/25 65%/9.1 Angels
Red Sox vs Mariners C.Buchholz vs F.Hernandez Mariners -124 +116 8.5 48.65% 8.42/9 60%/9.4 Red Sox
Phillies vs Mets B.Myers vs J.Maine Mets -125 +117 9.0 56.49% 8.81/9 59%/9.6 Mets
Braves vs Marlins T.Hudson vs R.Nolasco Braves -122 +114 8.5 46.08% 8.87/13 50%/8.0 Braves
Brewers vs Cardinals C.Sabathia vs B.Looper Brewers -134 +126 8.5 50.15% 8.34/3 54%/9.5 Brewers
Cubs vs DBacks T.Lilly vs D.Davis Cubs -108 +100 9.0 48.07% 9.80/16 52%/9.6 Cubs
Nationals vs Giants C.Balester vs K.Correia Giants -121 +113 8.5 60.25% 7.75/10 54%/9.3 Giants
Blue Jays vs Orioles A.Burnett vs J.Guthrie Orioles -108 +100 8.0 52.77% 9.19/6 56%/9.4 Blue Jays
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2106 -$342 $8027 60.54%
AccuScore $1868 -$747 $9953 99.06%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units. At this time I bumped up the bankroll of AccuScore method to $6k due to their recent winnings.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Col($235), SD($168), Hou($124), Oak($151), NYY($135), KC($167), Bos($235), Fla($337), Stl($251), SF($303)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Col($102), Hou($263), CWS($252), LAA($270), Sea($311), NYM($232), Fla($184), Bal($254)

Monday, July 21, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, July 22nd

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies C.Kershaw vs U.Jimenez Rockies -138 +130 10.5 60.93% 9.66/11 64%/11.2 Rockies
Cubs vs DBacks J.Marquis vs Y.Petit DBacks -110 +102 9.5 50.59% 9.71/11 56%/8.9 DBacks
Nationals vs Giants J.Bergmann vs B.Zito Giants -114 +106 8.5 58.28% 7.76/9 53%/8.3 Giants
Padres vs Reds J.Peavy vs J.Cueto Padres -111 +103 8.5 51.54% 9.00/7 56%/8.0 Reds
Braves vs Marlins C.Morton vs R.VandenHurk Braves -115 +107 10.0 47.97% 9.96/4 54%/11.5 Marlins
Phillies vs Mets J.Blanton vs J.Santana Mets -170 +162 8.0 53.77% 8.22/14 61%/8.5 Phillies
Pirates vs Astros P.Maholm vs J.Cassel Astros -106 -102 10.0 57.81% 9.10/10 54%/9.8 Pirates
Brewers vs Cardinals J.Suppan vs K.Lohse Cardinals -134 +126 9.0 55.06% 8.36/7 61%/9.8 Brewers
Blue Jays vs Orioles S.Marcum vs G.Olson Blue Jays -110 +102 9.5 49.34% 9.46/18 58%/10.7 Blue Jays
Twins vs Yankees K.Slowey vs D.Rasner Yankees -131 +123 9.5 59.50% 9.22/10 54%/9.2 Yankees
A's vs Rays D.Braden vs A.Sonnanstine Rays -154 +146 9.0 56.11% 8.48/9 63%/9.3 A's
Tigers vs Royals K.Rogers vs K.Davies Tigers -119 +111 10.0 50.14% 10.25/8 52%/11.3 Tigers
Rangers vs White Sox L.Mendoza vs M.Buehrle White Sox -161 +153 9.5 56.61% 11.22/12 62%/11.8 White Sox
Indians vs Angels M.Ginter vs J.Weaver Angels -185 +173 9.0 62.88% 9.29/5 61%/9.1 Angels
Red Sox vs Mariners D.Matsuzaka vs R.Dickey Red Sox -157 +149 9.0 52.29% 8.30/6 55%/10.2 Red Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $4445 $857 $7170 43.40%
AccuScore $4484 $133 $9820 96.40%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units. At this time I bumped up the bankroll of AccuScore method to $6k due to their recent winnings.

Sunday, July 20, 2008

Simulations for Monday, July 21st

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies E.Stults vs K.Wells Rockies -122 +114 10 55.40% 9.88/26 56%/10.7 Dodgers
Cubs vs DBacks R.Harden vs R.Johnson Cubs -134 +126 8 55.80% 9.25/2 49%/8.0 DBacks
Padres vs Reds J.Banks vs H.Bailey Reds -129 +121 9.5 52.38% 9.57/10 50%/9.2 Padres
Brewers vs Cardinals S.McClung vs J.Pineiro Cardinals -114 +106 9 51.95% 8.31/9 53%/10.4 Brewers
Braves vs Marlins J.Campillo vs C.Volstad Marlins -113 +105 9 48.90% 9.66/4 57%/8.5 Braves
Pirates vs Astros J.VanBenschoten vs R.Hernandez Astros -143 +135 10 55.27% 11.59/12 63%/11.2 Pirates
Indians vs Angels P.Byrd vs E.Santana Angels -191 +180 8.5 62.78% 9.00/7 63%/9.0 Indians
Red Sox vs Mariners J.Lester vs J.Washburn Red Sox -134 +126 9 55.85% 8.96/4 51%/9.7 Red Sox
A's vs Rays D.Eveland vs S.Kazmir Rays -182 +174 7.5 57.25% 7.79/4 59%/8.6 Rays
Blue Jays vs Orioles J.Litsch vs R.Liz Orioles -107 -101 10 46.91% 10.25/11 48%/11.2 Orioles
Twins vs Yankees N.Blackburn vs S.Ponson Yankees -125 +117 9.5 55.43% 9.06/TBD 51%/10.3 TBD
Tigers vs Royals Z.Miner vs L.Hochevar Royals -107 -101 9.5 52.67% 9.77/23 53%/10.5 Tigers
Rangers vs White Sox J.Hurley vs J.Vazquez White Sox -164 +156 9.5 54.86% 11.57/TBD 61%/10.1 TBD
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2124 $863 $6307 26.14%
AccuScore $4108 -$982 $10802 116.04%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units. At this time I bumped up the bankroll of AccuScore method to $6k due to their recent winnings.

Saturday, July 19, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, July 20th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks D.Lowe vs B.Webb DBacks -142 +134 7.5 53.62% 8.59/11 54%/7.7 Dodgers
Pirates vs Rockies Z.Duke vs A.Cook Rockies -179 +171 10.0 62.21% 9.77/14 68%/10.6 Rockies
Brewers vs Giants M.Parra vs T.Lincecum Giants -123 +115 7.5 53.77% 7.60/11 56%/8.7 Brewers
Padres vs Cardinals C.Baek vs J.Garcia Cardinals -139 +131 9.5 58.06% 7.44/14 58%/9.0 Cardinals
Phillies vs Marlins C.Hamels vs J.Johnson Phillies -144 +136 8.5 50.49% 9.09/5 64%/9.2 Marlins
Mets vs Reds M.Pelfrey vs E.Volquez Reds -131 +123 9.0 53.45% 8.83/12 56%/8.8 Mets
Nationals vs Braves O.Perez vs J.Reyes Braves -183 +175 9.0 64.23% 7.97/21 58%/9.1 Nationals
Cubs vs Astros R.Dempster vs B.Backe Cubs -128 +120 8.5 52.34% 9.54/9 50%/10.2 Cubs
Blue Jays vs Rays J.Parrish vs E.Jackson Rays -143 +135 9.0 56.78% 8.93/13 57%/10.1 Blue Jays
Indians vs Mariners C.Lee vs C.Silva Indians -132 +124 8.5 52.59% 7.76/8 53%/8.1 Indians
Tigers vs Orioles J.Verlander vs B.Burres Tigers -130 +122 9.5 55.76% 10.20/6 61%/10.5 Tigers
Royals vs White Sox B.Bannister vs J.Danks White Sox -161 +153 9.0 64.41% 10.13/15 62%/9.4 Royals
Red Sox vs Angels T.Wakefield vs J.Garland Angels -114 +106 8.5 49.29% 9.72/8 55%/9.7 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2235 $450 $5857 17.14%
AccuScore $3221 $458 $10343 106.86%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units. At this time I bumped up the bankroll of AccuScore method to $6k due to their recent winnings.

Friday, July 18, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, July 19th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks C.Billingsley vs D.Haren DBacks -123 +115 7.5 53.16% 8.62/5 60%/7.4 DBacks
Pirates vs Rockies Y.Herrera vs J.DeLaRosa Rockies -152 +144 10.5 57.45% 10.75/8 65%/11.6 Rockies
Brewers vs Giants B.Sheets vs J.Sanchez Brewers -139 +131 7.5 49.41% 7.98/13 57%/8.5 Brewers
Padres vs Cardinals R.Wolf vs T.Wellemeyer Cardinals -139 +131 8.5 60.21% 7.19/11 60%/9.5 Cardinals
Phillies vs Marlins K.Kendrick vs S.Olsen Phillies -107 -101 9.0 49.84% 9.90/14 51%/10.6 Marlins
Mets vs Reds O.Perez vs J.Fogg Mets -123 +115 10.0 51.66% 9.90/9 49%/9.9 Reds
Nationals vs Braves J.Lannan vs J.Jurrjens Braves -192 +181 8.5 67.78% 7.56/10 65%/8.0 Nationals
Cubs vs Astros C.Zambrano vs W.Rodriguez Cubs -120 +112 8.5 49.85% 8.99/5 52%/8.8 Astros
Blue Jays vs Rays R.Halladay vs M.Garza Blue Jays -113 +105 7.5 47.61% 8.31/10 55%/8.6 Rays
Indians vs Mariners J.Sowers vs J.Washburn Mariners -126 +118 9.0 56.86% 8.95/15 59%/10.3 Indians
Tigers vs Orioles N.Robertson vs D.Cabrera Orioles -119 +111 10.0 47.28% 9.98/21 48%/11.2 Orioles
Royals vs White Sox G.Meche vs G.Floyd White Sox -144 +136 9.0 58.51% 10.54/10 60%/9.8 Royals
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2750 -$643 $6521 30.42%
AccuScore $2975 $429 $9918 98.36%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units.

Thursday, July 17, 2008

Simulations for Friday, July 18th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks H.Kuroda vs D.Davis Dodgers -115 +107 8.5 50.01% 9.03/15 46%/8.1 Dodgers
Pirates vs Rockies I.Snell vs G.Rusch Rockies -119 +111 10.5 55.32% 10.50/7 59%/11.1 Rockies
Brewers vs Giants C.Sabathia vs M.Cain Brewers -128 +120 7.5 49.55% 7.73/10 56%/8.1 Brewers
Padres vs Cardinals G.Maddux vs B.Looper Cardinals -129 +121 8.5 56.03% 7.35/18 57%/8.3 Cardinals
Phillies vs Marlins J.Moyer vs R.Nolasco Marlins -113 +105 8.5 53.80% 9.56/6 53%/9.4 Phillies
Mets vs Reds J.Maine vs B.Arroyo Mets -113 +105 9.0 52.13% 9.84/7 48%/8.7 Reds
Nationals vs Braves T.Redding vs T.Hudson Braves -185 +177 8.5 68.71% 7.50/13 TBD Braves
Cubs vs Astros T.Lilly vs B.Moehler Cubs -114 +106 9.5 46.30% 9.33/3 48%/9.4 Astros
Blue Jays vs Rays A.Burnett vs J.Shields Rays -139 +131 8.0 57.88% 8.19/3 63%/8.6 Rays
Red Sox vs Angels C.Buchholz vs J.Lackey Angels -144 +136 8.0 52.60% 8.99/14 65%/9.5 Angels
Tigers vs Orioles A.Galarraga vs J.Guthrie Orioles -109 +101 9.0 48.07% 10.03/11 52%/9.7 Tigers
Royals vs White Sox Z.Greinke vs M.Buehrle White Sox -145 +137 8.0 61.86% 9.87/14 63%/9.1 White Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total
Xeifrank's Simulator $3050 $-23 $6524
AccuScore $3065 $2465 $7453
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units.

Monday, July 14, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, July 17th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
PIT vs COL P.Maholm vs U.Jimenez COL -134 +126 9.5,O-115,U+105 60.09% 9.85/8 53%/10.1 COL
SD vs STL J.Peavy vs K.Lohse SD -107 -101 7.5,O-105,U-105 42.00% 7.01/7 48%/7.5 STL
NYM vs CIN J.Santana vs J.Cueto NYM -145 +137 8.0,O-114,U+104 53.17% 9.47/18 56%/8.0 NYM
DET vs BAL K.Rogers vs G.Olson BAL -110 +102 10.0,O-103,U-107 46.61% 10.49/11 43%/10.9 Det
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total
Xeifrank's Simulator $1720 $882 $5642
AccuScore $1242 $413 $7040
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units.

All Star Break, NL West Simulated

Using my simulator to play out the remainder of the schedules for the 2008 season for the five NL West teams. Here is how the simulator predicts the final outcome of the division to be (20 seasons were simulated for each team).
  Current Final / Simulated Best Worst
Team Wins Losses Wins Losses Season Season
Dodgers 46 49 80.2 81.8 88-74 75-87
DBacks 47 48 80.1 81.9 89-73 70-92
Giants 40 55 74.7 87.3 82-80 69-93
Rockies 39 57 73.0 89.0 81-81 66-96
Padres 37 58 68.0 94.0 74-88 60-102

Skinny: The simulator is predicting the top four teams to play close to .500 ball the rest of the season, with the one exception of the Padres who are predicted to go 31-36 in their remaining games. Surprisingly, the Giants are expected to have the best record in the NL West the rest of the way winning at a .517 clip. The Rockies posted the 2nd best remaining season record, with a .514 winning percentage. The Dodgers finished narrowly behind the Rockeis with a .510 winning percentage. The DBacks mirrored their pre-All Star break record with a .494 winning percentage the rest of the way out. The simulator is predicting a dead heat between the Dodgers and DBacks for the NL West crown, with the Dodgers averaging a season total of 80.2 wins and the DBacks 80.1 wins. The difference, most likely within the margin of error. The NL West title will most likely come down to a factor like, who makes the best trade before the deadline, or which team stays the healthiest, or which team gives the most playing time to it's best players. The latter of which is something that could easily kill the Dodgers 2008 season.

Saturday, July 12, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, July 13th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Vegas Favorite Vegas ML Vegas O/U Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Marlins vs Dodgers A.Miller vs C.Billingsley Dodgers -151/+143 8.0,O-115,U+105 51.50% 8.67/10 67%/8.9 Dodgers
DBacks vs Phillies B.Webb vs C.Hamels Phillies -140/+132 7.5,O-119,U+109 56.06% 8.69/9 64%/7.4 Phillies
Rockies vs Mets M.Redman vs M.Pelfrey Mets -162/+154 9.0,O-115,U+105 57.63% 7.94/7 60%/9.6 Mets
Giants vs Cubs T.Lincecum vs R.Dempster Cubs -147/+139 TBD 54.44% 8.76/6 TBD Giants
Cardinals vs Pirates J.Pineiro vs I.Snell Cardinals -106/-102 9.0,O-131,U+121 51.74% 8.72/17 53%/9.7 Cardinals
Braves vs Padres J.Campillo vs R.Wolf Padres -111/+103 7.5,O+104,U-114 40.42% 6.36/15 47%/8.2 Braves
Astros vs Nationals B.Backe vs O.Perez Astros -104/-104 8.5,O-110,U+100 56.11% 8.31/5 53%/9.2 Astros
Reds vs Brewers H.Bailey vs C.Sabathia Brewers -230/+212 8.5,O-114,U+104 63.90% 8.79/5 72%/9.3 Brewers
Rays vs Indians S.Kazmir vs J.Sowers Rays -140/+132 8.5,O-117,U+107 60.98% 9.55/7 55%/9.4 Indians
Angels vs A's J.Saunders vs J.Duchscherer A's -124/+116 7.0,O-106,U-104 53.20% 7.50/7 53%/6.8 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total
Xeifrank's Simulator $3208 $642 $5000
AccuScore $2931 $2040 $5000
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units.

Friday, July 11, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, July 12th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Vegas Favorite Vegas ML Vegas O/U Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Marlins vs Dodgers R.Nolasco vs H.Kuroda Dodgers -126/+118 7.5,O-108,U-102 49.15% 9.01/8 60%/7.8 Marlins
DBacks vs Phillies R.Johnson vs A.Eaton Phillies -116/+108 9.5,O+109,U-119 54.67% 9.68/14 56%/9.7 DBacks
Rockies vs Mets U.Jimenez vs P.Martinez Mets -136/+128 8.5,O+107,U-117 48.00% 8.25/3 62%/9.7 Mets
Giants vs Cubs K.Correia vs R.Harden Cubs -250/+230 9.5,O+114,U-124 63.28% 9.17/15 72%/8.8 Cubs
Cardinals vs Pirates T.Wellemeyer vs Y.Herrera Cardinals -123/+115 9,O-115,U+105 53.10% 8.94/23 49%/9.1 Pirates
Braves vs Padres C.Morton vs G.Maddux Padres -112/+104 8,O+108,U-118 46.26% 6.71/5 57%/8.2 Braves
Astros vs Nationals W.Rodriguez vs C.Balester Astros -122/+114 8,O+101,U-111 54.55% 6.83/10 59%/8.1 Astros
Reds vs Brewers E.Volquez vs S.McClung Reds -114/+106 8.5,O-117,U+107 44.49% 8.54/10 45%/9.3 Reds
Rays vs Indians M.Garza vs M.Ginter Rays -136/+128 9,O-108,U-102 56.10% 9.60/12 51%/9.7 Indians
Angels vs A's E.Santana vs D.Eveland Angels -110/+102 7,O-118,7+108 51.64% 7.75/5 57%/8.2 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss
Xeifrank's Simulator $0.00 $0.00
AccuScore $0.00 $0.00
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets.

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Simulations for Friday, July 11th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Marlins vs Dodgers C.Volstad vs E.Stults Dodgers 54.22% 9.33/4 58.33%/8.5 64.00%/9.4 Marlins
DBacks vs Phillies D.Davis vs K.Kendrick Phillies 54.35% 9.37/11 58.33%/9.5 63.00%/9.5 Phillies
Rockies vs Mets A.Cook vs O.Perez Mets 51.77% 8.16/3 54.55%/8.5 53.00%/9.0 Mets
Giants vs Cubs M.Cain vs J.Marquis Cubs 55.15% 9.32/4 60.78%/11.0 56.00%/11.4 Cubs
Cardinals vs Pirates K.Lohse vs Z.Duke Cardinals 50.51% 8.36/6 51.92%/8.5 53.00%/9.7 Cardinals
Braves vs Padres J.Reyes vs J.Peavy Braves 53.35% 6.36/4 41.67/7.0 37.00%/7.8 Padres
Astros vs Nationals R.Oswalt vs T.Redding Astros 58.36% 7.93/10 55.56%/8.0 61.00%/8.3 Nationals
Reds vs Brewers J.Fogg vs M.Parra Brewers 64.21% 9.48/11 63.37%/9.0 62.00%/10.0 Reds
Rays vs Indians S.Shields vs C.Lee Indians 53.23% 8.00/5 50.00%/8.0 49.00%/8.3 Indians
Angels vs A's J.Garland vs S.Gallagher Angels 50.34% 8.21/11 51.92%/8.0 53.00%/9.0 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss
Xeifrank's Simulator $0.00 $0.00
AccuScore $0.00 $0.00
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/12/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets.

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, June 10th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Marlins vs Dodgers J.Johnson vs C.Park Dodgers 53.88% 8.44/TBD 60.00%/8.5 64.00%/9.3 TBD
DBacks vs Nationals D.Haren vs J.Bergmann DBacks 64.20% 7.15/12 59.18%/7.5 64.00%/7.1 DBacks
Giants vs Mets B.Zito vs J.Maine Mets 57.73% 8.21/10 66.67%/8.5 65.00%/8.7 Mets
Rockies vs Brewers J.DeLaRosa vs D.Bush Brewers 57.11% 9.48/12 59.51%/9.5 65.00%/9.6 Brewers
Cardinals vs Phillies B.Looper vs J.Moyer Phillies 54.87% 9.90/5 56.52%/10.0 52.00%/9.8 Phillies
Reds vs Cubs B.Arroyo vs T.Lilly Cubs 60.76% 9.41/19 62.96%/TBD 62.00%/9.7 Reds
Yankees vs Pirates M.Mussina vs P.Maholm Yankees 51.61% 8.16/6 56.52%/9.0 51.00%/9.0 Pirates
Rays vs Indians P.Sonnanstine vs A.Laffey Rays 52.11% 8.81/15 47.62%/8.5 44.00%/9.3 Indians
Mariners vs A's R.Dickey vs G.Smith A's 53.19% 7.59/5 62.26%/8.5 58.00%/9.0 A's
Angels vs Rangers J.Lackey vs S.Feldman Angels 50.71% 9.48/21 58.33%/9.5 63.00%/10.3 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss
Xeifrank's Simulator $0.00 $0.00
AccuScore $0.00 $0.00
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money.

Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, July 9th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Braves vs Dodgers T.Hudson vs D.Lowe Dodgers 50.57% 8.23/3 52.38%/7.5 57.00%/7.3 Dodgers
DBacks vs Nationals M.Owings vs J.Lannan DBacks 59.32% 7.38/5 50.00%/8.5 56.00%/8.0 Nationals
Giants vs Mets J.Sanchez vs J.Santana Mets 54.33% 7.67/5 65.52%/7.0 69.00%/7.7 Mets
Rockies vs Brewers G.Rusch vs B.Sheets Brewers 63.00% 9.36/11 69.70%/9.0 74.00%/9.2 Rockies
Marlins vs Padres S.Olsen vs C.Baek Marlins 50.95% 6.97/7 48.54%/8.5 43.00%/9.3 Marlins
Astros vs Pirates B.Moehler vs J.VanBenschoten Astros 57.50% 10.09/10 54.13%/10.0 59.00%/11.3 Astros
Cardinals vs Phillies M.Mulder vs J.Happ Phillies 54.49% 10.42%/6 60.78%/10.5 58.00%/10.7 Phillies
Reds vs Cubs J.Cueto vs C.Zambrano Cubs 61.73% 9.23/6 62.69%/8.0 63.00%/9.0 Cubs
Rays vs Yankees E.Jackson vs S.Ponson Yankees 52.21% 9.91/3 46.51%/10.0 44.00%/11.0 Yankees
Twins vs Red Sox L.Hernandez vs J.Beckett Red Sox 62.72% 10.18/23 69.23%/9.0 69.00%/9.5 Red Sox
Angels vs Rangers J.Weaver vs M.Ballard Rangers 53.40% 9.70/9 42.55%/10.5 42.00%/10.5 Rangers
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 575.58 25299.00
LV Hilton Odds 582.63 25552.54
AccuScore 574.00 25526.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 1.00%
AccuScore leads by 0.90%

Monday, July 07, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, July 8th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Braves vs Dodgers J.Jurrjens vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 50.37% 8.43/12 55.56%/7.5 55.00%/7.9 Braves
DBacks vs Nationals B.Webb vs O.Perez DBacks 64.06% 7.12/2 60.00%/7.5 61.00%/8.1 DBacks
Giants vs Mets T.Lincecum vs M.Pelfrey Mets 50.96% 7.63/7 51.22%/7.5 47.00%/8.5 Mets
Rockies vs Brewers M.Redman vs C.Sabathia Brewers 56.42% 9.58/10 69.23%/9.0 73.00%/9.3 Brewers
Marlins vs Padres A.Miller vs R.Wolf Marlins 55.31% 7.01/11 47.62%/8.0 41.00%/8.7 Padres
Astros vs Pirates B.Backe vs I.Snell Pirates 54.80% 9.17/7 53.49%/9.5 48.00%/9.7 Pirates
Cardinals vs Phillies J.Pineiro vs C.Hamels Phillies 57.88% 9.42/2 66.67%/9.0 69.00%/8.5 Cardinals
Reds vs Cubs A.Harang vs R.Dempster Cubs 60.50% 9.02/10 60.78%/9.0 58.00%/8.8 Cubs
Rays vs Yankees S.Kazmir vs A.Pettitte Rays 52.59% 8.68/5 51.22%/8.5 45.00%/9.2 Yankees
Twins vs Red Sox R.Blackburn vs R.Lester Red Sox 58.65% 9.96/11 62.41%/9.5 56.00%/9.6 Red Sox
Angels vs Rangers J.Saunders vs M.Harrison Angels 50.51% 9.99/5 54.55%/10.5 55.00%/10.5 Rangers
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 578.73 24720.27
LV Hilton Odds 581.51 24971.03
AccuScore 578.00 24948.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 1.01%
AccuScore leads by 0.92%

Sunday, July 06, 2008

Simulations for Monday, July 7th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Braves vs Dodgers J.Campillo vs H.Kuroda Braves 54.84% 8.54/3 44.83%/7.5 43.00%/7.4 Dodgers
Marlins vs Padres J.Nolasco vs G.Maddux Marlins 53.02% 7.07/4 47.17%/8.0 46.00%/8.4 Marlins
Rockies vs Brewers U.Jimenez vs S.McClung Brewers 50.72% 9.81/7 56.14%/9.0 61.00%/10.2 Rockies
Mets vs Phillies P.Martinez vs A.Eaton Phillies 57.45% 10.46/19 55.56%/10.0 56.00%/10.7 Mets
Astros vs Pirates R.Hernandez vs P.Dumatrait Pirates 57.49% 9.15/17 55.95%/9.5 52.00%/10.5 Pirates
Royals vs Rays G.Meche vs M.Garza Rays 57.55% 8.63/11 63.37%/8.0 58.00%/8.8 Royals
Twins vs Red Sox S.Baker vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 58.73% 10.28/1 63.37%/9.0 58.00%/9.6 Red Sox
Angels vs Rangers E.Santana vs L.Mendoza Angels 51.65% 9.93/15 56.52%/10.0 58.00%/10.8 Angels
Mariners vs A's J.Washburn vs D.Eveland A's 56.37% 7.62/7 60.00%/8.0 57.00%/8.8 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 453.40 24266.87
LV Hilton Odds 463.11 24507.92
AccuScore 453.00 24495.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 0.99%
AccuScore leads by 0.94%

Saturday, July 05, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, July 6th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Giants E.Stults vs M.Cain Giants 51.35% 7.42%/8 54.55%/7.5 52.00%/8.2 Dodgers
Padres vs DBacks J.Banks vs R.Johnson DBacks 53.11% 8.95/5 59.18%/9.0 54.00%/8.4 DBacks
Marlins vs Rockies M.Hendrickson vs A.Cook Rockies 58.61% 11.18/15 63.64%/10.5 65.00%/10.4 Marlins
Nationals vs Reds C.Balester vs E.Volquez Reds 69.24% 8.09/11 65.52%/8.5 62.00%/8.1 Reds
Pirates vs Brewers Z.Duke vs J.Suppan Brewers 54.93% 9.45/17 59.68%/9.0 58.00%/9.8 Brewers
Mets vs Phillies O.Perez vs K.Kendrick Phillies 55.94% 10.30/6 54.55%/10.0 61.00%/10.0 Mets
Astros vs Braves W.Rodriguez vs C.Morton Braves 51.24% 8.65/13 55.56%/9.0 51.00%/9.8 Braves
Cubs vs Cardinals S.Marshall vs T.Wellemeyer Cardinals 53.01% 8.62/8 54.55%/8.5 58.00%/9.0 Cubs
Red Sox vs Yankees T.Wakefield vs J.Chamberlain Yankees 53.12% 9.35/9 60.00%/9.0 54.00%/9.9 Yankees
Royals vs Rays L.Hochever vs J.Shields Rays 60.64% 8.75/11 65.52%/8.5 66.00%/9.2 Rays
Blue Jays vs Angels J.Litsch vs J.Garland Angels 53.98% 9.04/8 55.56%/8.5 58.00%/9.3 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 577.35 23689.52
LV Hilton Odds 593.73 23914.19
AccuScore 567.00 23928.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 0.95%
AccuScore leads by 1.01%

Friday, July 04, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, July 5th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Giants C.Park vs B.Zito Giants 52.19% 8.15/TBD 46.51%/8.5 44.00%/9.1 Giants
Padres vs DBacks J.Peavy vs D.Davis DBacks 56.87% 7.78/6 48.78%/8.5 42.00%/9.3 Padres
Marlins vs Rockies R.Tucker vs J.DeLaRosa Rockies 54.28% 11.46/18 55.56/10.5 62.00%/12.4 Rockies
Nationals vs Reds T.Redding vs J.Fogg Reds 51.91% 9.91/5 54.55%/9.5 61.00%/9.0 Reds
Pirates vs Brewers P.Maholm vs D.Bush Brewers 55.79% 9.64/3 57.45%/9.0 63.00%/9.5 Brewers
Mets vs Phillies J.Maine vs J.Moyer Phillies 53.70% 9.78/13 53.49%/9.5 56.00%/9.4 Mets
Astros vs Braves C.Sampson vs J.Reyes Braves 53.75% 8.74/7 60.00%/9.5 55.00%/9.3 Astros
Cubs vs Cardinals T.Lilly vs K.Lohse Cardinals 52.41% 8.37/9 50.00%/9.0 52.00%/8.5 Cardinals
Red Sox vs Yankees J.Masterson vs M.Mussina Yankees 50.42% 9.94/3 55.56%/9.5 60.00%/10.5 Yankees
Royals vs Rays Z.Greinke vs A.Sonnanstine Rays 59.03% 8.67/3 56.52%/8.5 54.00%/9.3 Rays
Blue Jays vs Angels R.Halladay vs J.Lackey Angels 56.06% 7.89/TBD 54.55%/7.0 59.00%/7.7 Blue Jays
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 0.00 23133.87
LV Hilton Odds 0.00 23358.54
AccuScore 0.00 23344.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 0.97%
AccuScore leads by 0.91%

Thursday, July 03, 2008

Simulations for Friday, July 4th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Giants D.Lowe vs J.Sanchez Giants 55.06% 7.28/17 50.50%/7.5 53.00%/8.2 Dodgers
Padres vs DBacks C.Baek vs D.Haren DBacks 59.45% 8.0/6 66.67%/8.5 69.00%/7.8 Padres
Marlins vs Rockies S.Olsen vs G.Reynolds Marlins 51.04% 11.45/35 45.45%/10.0 43.00%/10.7 Rockies
Nationals vs Reds J.Bergmann vs B.Arroyo Reds 56.44% 9.52/3 60.00%/9.5 64.00%/9.0 Reds
Pirates vs Brewers T.Gorzelanny vs B.Sheets Brewers 64.53% 9.61/10 64.60%/8.5 70.00%/9.4 Brewers
Mets vs Phillies J.Santana vs J.Happ Phillies 51.11% 10.0/5 43.48%/9.0 43.00%/9.6 Phillies
Astros vs Braves B.Moehler vs T.Hudson Braves 57.87% 8.84/8 62.96%/9.0 65.00%/9.0 Braves
Cubs vs Cardinals C.Zambrano vs B.Looper Cubs 51.43% 8.38/3 54.55%/8.5 50.00%/9.2 Cubs
Red Sox vs Yankees J.Beckett vs D.Rasner Red Sox 53.00% 9.53/10 54.44%/9.5 51.00%/9.6 Red Sox
Royals vs Rays B.Bannister vs E.Jackson Rays 57.53% 8.88/13 60.00%/9.0 54.00%/10.0 Rays
Blue Jays vs Angels A.Burnett vs J.Weaver Angels 53.56% 8.70/10 53.49%/7.5 59.00%/8.4 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 579.92 22553.95
LV Hilton Odds 590.90 22767.64
AccuScore 591.00 22753.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 0.95%
AccuScore leads by 0.88%

Wednesday, July 02, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, July 3rd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Astros C.Billingsley vs B.Backe Dodgers 53.08% 8.78/7 53.49%/8.5 51.00%/9.4 Dodgers
Brewers vs DBacks M.Parra vs B.Webb DBacks 56.60% 9.90/11 60.78%/8.0 59.00%/8.8 DBacks
Cubs vs Giants S.Gallagher vs T.Lincecum Giants 56.14% 7.80/11 56.52%/7.5 60.00%/8.3 Giants
Marlins vs Rockies A.Miller vs M.Redman Rockies 52.50% 10.57/11 53.49%/10.5 59.00%/11.0 Rockies
Mets vs Cardinals M.Pelfrey vs M.Boggs Mets 51.99% 8.71/12 47.62%/9.0 43.00%/9.7 Mets
Phillies vs Braves C.Hamels vs J.Jurrjens Braves 52.87% 8.26/5 47.62%/7.5 47.00%/8.2 Phillies
Nationals vs Reds J.Lannan vs J.Cueto Reds 52.74% 8.87/8 59.18%/9.0 60.00%/8.4 Reds
Red Sox vs Yankees J.Lester vs A.Pettitte Yankees 50.14% 9.67/7 55.56%/9.5 60.00%/10.2 Red Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 420.04 22133.91
LV Hilton Odds 427.90 22339.74
AccuScore 425.00 22328.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 0.93%
AccuScore leads by 0.88%

Tuesday, July 01, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, July 2nd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Sim/Actual Runs Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Astros H.Kuroda vs R.Hernandez Astros 52.96% 8.75/5 46.52%/8.5 44.00%/9.8 Dodgers
Brewers vs DBacks S.McClung vs Y.Petit DBacks 50.17% 10.80/7 51.22%/9.5 48.00%/9.7 Brewers
Cubs vs Giants R.Dempster vs K.Correia Cubs 53.33% 8.31/11 54.55%/8.0 53.00%/8.0 Cubs
Padres vs Rockies R.Wolf vs U.Jimenez Rockies 60.25% 8.58/9 56.52%/9.5 52.00%/10.6 Rockies
Mets vs Cardinals P.Martinez vs J.Pineiro Cardinals 52.10% 8.65/15 50.00%/9.0 56.00%/9.0 Cardinals
Phillies vs Braves A.Eaton vs J.Campillo Braves 56.43% 8.06/10 55.56%/9.0 61.00%/9.8 Phillies
Nationals vs Marlins O.Perez vs R.Nolasco Marlins 57.82% 8.63/6 60.78%/9.0 64.00%/9.8 Marlins
Pirates vs Reds J.VanBenschoten vs D.Thompson Reds 51.12% 9.98/14 56.71%/10.0 61.00%/10.9 Pirates
A's vs Angels D.Eveland vs J.Saunders Angels 55.56% 8.37/11 56.52%/8.0 63.00%/8.7 Angels
Red Sox vs Rays D.Matsuzaka vs S.Kazmir Rays 56.01% 8.42/13 57.45%/7.5 56.00%/8.9 Rays
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 524.39 21609.52
LV Hilton Odds 525.81 21813.93
AccuScore 530.00 21798.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 0.95%
AccuScore leads by 0.87%