Saturday, May 31, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, June 1st.

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Pinnacle AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Mets H.Kuroda vs J.Santana Mets 51.53% 38.46% TBD 36.00% Mets
Padres vs Giants R.Wolf vs T.Lincecum Giants 57.73% 57.45% TBD 58.00% Giants
Nationals vs DBacks S.Hill vs D.Haren DBacks 68.17% 65.52% TBD 67.00% DBacks
Rockies vs Cubs U.Jiminez vs S.Gallagher Cubs 65.10% 60.78% TBD 66.00% Cubs
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 242.53 11451.42
LV Hilton Odds 245.29 11577.88
AccuScore 255.00 11587.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 1.10%
AccuScore leads by 1.19%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Simulations for Saturday, May 31st

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Pinnacle AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Mets C.Billingsley vs M.Pelfrey Dodgers 56.77% 53.92% TBD 54.00% Mets
Padres vs Giants J.Banks vs P.Misch Giants 53.27% 52.83% TBD 48.00% Padres
Nationals vs DBacks J.Bergmann vs B.Webb DBacks 70.87% 68.75% 68.45% 66.00% DBacks
Rockies vs Cubs G.Rusch vs R.Dempster Cubs 72.50% 69.70% TBD 73.00% Cubs
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 233.33 11218.09
LV Hilton Odds 231.70 11346.18
AccuScore 237.00 11350.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 1.14%
AccuScore leads by 1.18%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Thursday, May 29, 2008

Simulations for Friday, May 30th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Pinnacle AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Mets C.Kershaw vs J.Maine Mets 53.10% 56.52% 57.81% 52.00% Dodgers
Padres vs Giants G.Maddux vs M.Cain Giants 52.13% 54.55% 53.70% 53.00% Padres
Nationals vs DBacks T.Redding vs M.Owings DBacks 65.50% 62.96% 63.64% 67.00% Nationals
Rockies vs Cubs A.Cook vs T.Lilly Cubs 55.60% 59.18% 58.68% 65.00% Cubs
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 184.87 11033.22
LV Hilton Odds 185.15 11161.03
AccuScore 193.00 11157.48
Pinnacle Sports
LV Hilton leads by 1.16%
AccuScore leads by 1.13%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, May 29th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Pinnacle AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Mets B.Penny vs C.Vargas Mets 50.33% 55.56% 54.55% 50.00% Mets
Giants vs DBacks B.Zito vs R.Johnson DBacks 64.83% 64.91% 66.10% 65.00% Giants
Rockies vs Cubs J.Francis vs J.Marquis Cubs 64.47% 59.18% 59.02% 63.00% Cubs
Nationals vs Padres J.Lannan vs W.Ledezma Padres 51.00% 52.38% NA 56.00% Padres
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 190.97 10842.25
LV Hilton Odds 202.30 10958.73
AccuScore 204.00 10953.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.07%
AccuScore leads by 1.03%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, May 28th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Cubs D.Lowe vs C.Zambrano Cubs 64.97% 60.00% 64.00% Cubs
Giants vs DBacks J.Sanchez vs D.Davis DBacks 63.83% 60.78% 59.00% Giants
Rockies vs Phillies G.Reynolds vs A.Eaton Phillies 59.73% 61.54% 59.00% Phillies
Nationals vs Padres O.Perez vs S.Estes Padres 52.90% 55.56% 60.00% Nationals
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 207.97 10634.28
LV Hilton Odds 205.20 10753.53
AccuScore 204.00 10749.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%
AccuScore leads by 1.08%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Monday, May 26, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, May 27th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Cubs H.Kuroda vs S.Gallagher Cubs 54.77% 48.78% 48.00% Cubs
Giants vs DBacks T.Lincecum vs D.Haren DBacks 64.40% 59.18% 60.00% Giants
Rockies vs Phillies U.Jimenez vs K.Kendrick Phillies 57.27% 62.96% 68.00% Phillies
Nationals vs Padres S.Hill vs R.Wolf Padres 54.87% 57.45% 61.00% Padres
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 202.51 10431.77
LV Hilton Odds 210.01 10543.52
AccuScore 217.00 10532.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.07%
AccuScore leads by 0.97%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Sunday, May 25, 2008

Simulations for Monday, May 26th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Cubs C.Billingsley vs R.Dempster Cubs 63.83% 54.55% 61.00% Cubs
DBacks vs Braves B.Webb vs J.Jurrjens DBacks 53.73% 53.49% 48.00% Braves
Rockies vs Phillies J.DeLaRosa vs J.Moyers Phillies 59.53% 62.26% 68.00% Phillies
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 169.63 10262.14
LV Hilton Odds 163.32 10380.20
AccuScore 181.00 10351.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.15%
AccuScore leads by 0.87%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Saturday, May 24, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, May 25th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Cardinals vs Dodgers T.Wellemeyer vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 51.50% 52.38% 55.00% Dodgers
Reds vs Padres M.Belisle vs G.Maddux Padres 57.00% 56.52% 61.00% Padres
Mets vs Rockies J.Maine vs A.Cook Mets 50.17% 48.78% 43.00% Rockies
DBacks vs Braves M.Owings vs T.Glavine Braves 50.07% 47.62% 54.00% DBacks
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 208.26 10053.88
LV Hilton Odds 212.50 10167.70
AccuScore 219.00 10132.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.13%
AccuScore leads by 0.78%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Friday, May 23, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, May 24th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Cardinals vs Dodgers K.Lohse vs B.Penny Cardinals 50.27% 40.00% 40.00% Cardinals
Reds vs Padres B.Arroyo vs W.Ledezma Padres 55.63% 48.78% 49.00% Reds
Mets vs Rockies C.Vargas vs J.Francis Mets 53.67% 43.48% 38.00% Mets
DBacks vs Braves R.Johnson vs J.Campillo Braves 51.37% 50.00% 54.00% Braves
Giants vs Marlins M.Cain vs B.Badenhop Marlins 54.90% 51.22% 51.00% PPD.
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 199.68 9854.20
LV Hilton Odds 184.70 9983.00
AccuScore 183.00 9949.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.31%
AccuScore leads by 0.97%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Dodger WAR Update

Let's take a look at the WAR of primary Dodger players at this point in time (5/23).
Hitters
Name WAR
R.Furcal 7.13
R.Martin 3.97
B.DeWitt 3.53
M.Kemp 2.22
A.Ethier 1.50
J.Loney 1.48
J.Pierre 0.41
G.Bennett -0.12
D.Young -0.25
N.Garciappara -0.40
M.Sweeney 0.83
A.Jones -0.99
J.Kent -1.06
C.Hu -1.37
Hitters Total 15.23
 
Pitchers
C.Billingsley 4.16
H.Guo 3.00
D.Lowe 2.79
J.Broxton 2.69
H.Kuroda 2.24
B.Penny 2.01
J.Beimel 1.85
T>Saito 1.81
C.Wade 1.46
E.Loaiza 0.46
R.Troncoso 0.44
C.Park -0.22
S.Proctor -0.83
Pitching Total 21.88
Team Total 87.11


Keep in mind to come up with the 87.11 total we add the hitters and pitchers totals and then add an offset of 50 wins, which is the team replacement level number of wins. At the moment the WAR calculation says the Dodgers should win 87.11 games. Their current record is 25-21, which pro-rated over an 162 game season would be 88.04 wins. Keep in mind in my Pre-Season Dodger WAR study, which used 2008 ZIPS projections, I had the Dodgers with 87.50 wins. All three numbers are pretty consistent at this point in time. It will be interesting to see how things fluctuate from this point on. I will make it a habit to update this study once a week.

Thursday, May 22, 2008

Simulations for Friday, May 23rd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Cardinals vs Dodgers A.Wainwright vs D.Lowe Cardinals 53.53% 47.62% 42.00% Cardinals
Reds vs Padres E.Volquez vs S.Estes Reds 53.13% 57.45% 52.00% Reds
Mets vs Rockies O.Perez vs G.Reynolds Rockies 51.07% 50.00% 57.00% Rockies
DBacks vs Braves D.Davis vs J.Reyes Braves 51.53% 56.52% 61.00% DBacks
Giants vs Marlins B.Zito vs S.Olsen Marlins 64.23% 62.26% 62.00% Giants
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 241.97 9612.23
LV Hilton Odds 236.29 9746.71
AccuScore 228.00 9721.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.40%
AccuScore leads by 1.14%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, May 22nd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
DBacks vs Marlins D.Haren vs A.Miller DBacks 54.10% 54.55% 59.00% Marlins
Reds vs Padres A.Harang vs R.Wolf Padres 52.27% 50.00% 45.00% Padres
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 98.17 9514.06
LV Hilton Odds 95.45 9648.26
AccuScore 86.00 9635.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.41%
AccuScore leads by 1.28%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, May 21st

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Reds vs Dodgers J.Cueto vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 56.63% 55.56% 60.60% Dodgers
Cardinals vs Padres B.Looper vs C.Young Padres 55.47% 55.56% 52.60% Cardinals
Giants vs Rockies J.Sanchez vs U.Jimenez Rockies 55.47% 57.45% 60.90% Giants
DBacks vs Marlins B.Webb vs R.Nolasco DBacks 55.40% 60.78% 57.60% Marlins
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 190.29 9323.77
LV Hilton Odds 181.77 9466.49
AccuScore 188.90 9446.58
LV Hilton leads by 1.53%
AccuScore leads by 1.32%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Monday, May 19, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, May 20th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Reds vs Dodgers M.Belisle vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 56.33% 62.96% 58.90% Dodgers
Cardinals vs Padres J.Pineiro vs G.Maddux Padres 58.73% 53.05% 60.90% Padres
Giants vs Rockies T.Lincecum vs A.Cook Rockies 54.53% 56.52% 59.80% Giants
DBacks vs Marlins M.Owings vs M.Hendrickson Marlins 51.77% 45.45% 51.10% Marlins
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 212.30 9111.47
LV Hilton Odds 204.94 9261.55
AccuScore 211.10 9235.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.65%
AccuScore leads by 1.36%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Simulations for Monday, May 19th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Reds vs Dodgers B.Arroyo vs B.Penny Dodgers 57.10 57.08% 61.10% Dodgers
Cardinals vs Padres T.Wellemeyer vs W.Ledezma Padres 54.37% 47.62% 46.30% Cardinals
Giants vs Rockies P.Misch vs J.DeLaRosa Rockies 53.23% 59.18% 55.40% Rockies
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 155.96 8955.51
LV Hilton Odds 168.64 9092.91
AccuScore 170.20 9065.28
LV Hilton leads by 1.53%
AccuScore leads by 1.23%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Saturday, May 17, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, May 18th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Angels D.Lowe vs J.Weaver Angels 51.60% 54.55% 53.40% Angels
Tigers vs DBacks N.Robertson vs R.Johnson DBacks 53.03% 56.52% 52.80% DBacks
Padres vs Mariners S.Estes vs F.Hernandez Mariners 52.83% 62.26% 61.70% Mariners
White Sox vs Giants J.Danks vs M.Cain Giants 59.63% 50.00% 54.70% White Sox
Twins vs Rockies K.Slowey vs J.Francis Rockies 53.80% 58.33% 52.40% Rockies
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 251.63 8703.88
LV Hilton Odds 281.66 8811.25
AccuScore 265.60 8799.68
LV Hilton leads by 1.23%
AccuScore leads by 0.93%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Friday, May 16, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, May 17th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Angels C.Park vs E.Santana Angels 52.63% 60.00% 62.60% Dodgers
Tigers vs DBacks A.Galarraga vs M.Scherzer DBacks 55.43% 55.56% 49.00% Tigers
Padres vs Mariners R.Wolf vs E.Bedard Mariners 54.13% 59.18 61.90% Mariners
White Sox vs Giants M.Buehrle vs B.Zito Giants 54.00% 45.45% 46.50% White Sox
Twins vs Rockies L.Hernandez vs G.Reynolds Rockies 53.30% 54.55% 54.00% Rockies
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 245.37 8703.88
LV Hilton Odds 252.72 8811.25
AccuScore 257.80 8799.68
LV Hilton leads by 1.23%
AccuScore leads by 0.93%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Simulations for Friday, May 16th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Angels H.Kuroda vs J.Saunders Angels 50.07% 54.55% 59.30% Angels
Tigers vs DBacks J.Bonderman vs D.Haren DBacks 58.83% 57.45% 55.20% DBacks
Padres vs Seattle C.Young vs M.Batista Padres 54.37% 51.22% 54.60% Padres
White Sox vs Giants G.Floyd vs J.Sanchez Giants 56.13% 48.78% 44.70% White Sox
Twins vs Rockies N.Blackburn vs U.Jimenez Rockies 51.67% 55.56% 51.50% Twins
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 255.47 8448.41
LV Hilton Odds 258.88 8552.37
AccuScore 272.90 8526.78
LV Hilton leads by 1.23%
AccuScore leads by 0.93%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, May 15th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Brewers C.Billingsley vs B.Sheets Brewers 57.23% 56.52% 62.20% Dodgers
Padres vs Cubs G.Maddux vs R.Dempster Padres 50.68% 41.67% 38.90% Cubs
Rockies vs DBacks A.Cook vs B.Webb DBacks 57.43% 60.78% 56.40% DBacks
Astros vs Giants C.Sampson vs T.Lincecum Giants 56.65% 57.45% 54.00% Astros
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 192.87 8255.54
LV Hilton Odds 205.14 8347.23
AccuScore 201.30 8325.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.11%
AccuScore leads by 0.85%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, May 14th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Brewers D.Lowe vs M.Parra Brewers 50.30% 49.50% 45.20% Dodgers
Padres vs Cubs J.Peavy vs T.Lilly Padres 50.30% 51.22% 45.60% Cubs
Rockies vs DBacks J.DeLaRosa vs M.Owings DBacks 56.13% 59.18% 64.70% DBacks
Astros vs Giants B.Moehler vs P.Misch Astros 50.07% 51.22% 48.70% Astros
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 205.60 8049.94
LV Hilton Odds 209.68 8137.55
AccuScore 222.60 8102.88
LV Hilton leads by 1.09%
AccuScore leads by 0.66%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Monday, May 12, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, May 13th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Brewers B.Penny vs C.Villanueva Brewers 52.87% 47.62% 46.20% Brewers
Padres vs Cubs S.Estes vs J.Marquis Cubs 53.70% 60.78% 66.50% Padres
Rockies vs DBacks J.Francis vs M.Owings DBacks 53.93% 55.56% 54.70% DBacks
Astros vs Giants B.Backe vs M.Cain Giants 55.30% 53.49% 57.50% Giants
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 208.40 7841.54
LV Hilton Odds 195.89 7941.66
AccuScore 191.90 7910.98
LV Hilton leads by 1.29%
AccuScore leads by 0.89%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Sunday, May 11, 2008

Simulations for Monday, May 12th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Padres vs Cubs R.Wolf vs C.Zambrano Cubs 58.10% 63.64% 70.20% Cubs
Astros vs Giants R.Oswalt vs B.Zito Astros 50.77% 56.52% 58.60% Astros
Cardinals vs Brewers A.Wainwright vs D.Bush Brewers 54.37% 47.62% 47.10% Brewers
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 163.24 7678.30
LV Hilton Odds 167.78 7773.88
AccuScore 175.90 7735.08
LV Hilton leads by 1.24%
AccuScore leads by 0.74%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Simulations for Sunday, May 11th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Astros vs Dodgers S.Chacon vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 56.43% 57.98% 56.80% Astros
DBacks vs Cubs R.Johnson vs C.Zambrano Cubs 53.23% 58.85% 64.60% Cubs
Rockies vs Padres G.Reynolds vs C.Young Padres 58.80% 60.00% 53.00% Padres
Phillies vs Giants A.Eaton vs J.Sanchez Giants 51.20% 47.62% 51.40% Giants
Cardinals vs Brewers B.Looper vs J.Suppan Brewers 56.27% 54.55% 49.60% Brewers
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 263.07 7415.23
LV Hilton Odds 263.04 7510.84
AccuScore 261.80 7473.28
LV Hilton leads by 1.29%
AccuScore leads by 0.78%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Friday, May 09, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, May 10th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Astros vs Dodgers C.Sampson vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 56.27% 63.64% 57.50% Astros
DBacks vs Cubs M.Scherzer vs R.Dempster Cubs 54.40% 53.49% 58.80% Cubs
Rockies vs Padres U.Jimenez vs G.Maddux Padres 57.20% 53.49% 59.20% Padres
Phillies vs Giants J.Moyer vs T.Lincecum Giants 54.10% 53.70% 53.30% Giants
Cardinals vs Brewers J.Pineiro vs B.Sheets Brewers 59.97% 63.64% 58.70% Cardinals
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 249.46 7165.77
LV Hilton Odds 233.40 7277.44
AccuScore 255.10 7218.18
LV Hilton leads by 1.56%
AccuScore leads by 0.73%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Simulations for Friday, May 9th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Astros vs Dodgers B.Moehler vs D.Lowe Dodgers 57.13% 62.96% 65.40% Astros
DBacks vs Cubs D.Haren vs T.Lilly DBacks 50.16% 50.00% 41.00% Cubs
Rockies vs Padres A.Cook vs J.Peavy Padres 55.63% 60.00% 56.90% Rockies
Phillies vs Giants C.Hamels vs P.Misch Phillies 52.73% 62.26% 66.40% Phillies
Cardinals vs Brewers T.Wellemeyer vs M.Parra Brewers 56.27% 52.38% 48.40% Brewers
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 246.08 6919.69
LV Hilton Odds 241.68 7035.76
AccuScore 251.50 6966.68
LV Hilton leads by 1.68%
AccuScore leads by 0.68%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, May 8th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Cardinals vs Rockies K.Lohse vs J.DeLaRosa Rockies 54.17% 50.00% 48.30% Rockies
Phillies vs DBacks B.Myers vs B.Webb DBacks 53.37% 60.00% 63.90% DBacks
Giants vs Pirates M.Cain vs P.Maholm Pirates 51.33% 52.38% 55.50% Pirates
Padres vs Braves W.Ledezma vs J.Reyes Braves 52.67% 60.00% 65.20% Braves
Brewers vs Marlins C.Villanueva vs M.Hendrickson Brewers 52.03% 50.00% 44.60% Marlins
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 259.51 6660.18
LV Hilton Odds 272.38 6763.38
AccuScore 288.30 6678.38
LV Hilton leads by 1.55%
AccuScore leads by 0.27%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, May 7th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Mets vs Dodgers J.Maine vs B.Penny Dodgers 46.00% 54.55% 59.70% Mets
Cardinals vs Rockies A.Wainwright vs J.Francis Rockies 51.93% 54.55% 51.20% Rockies
Phillies vs DBacks K.Kendrick vs M.Owings DBacks 50.43% 56.52% 60.10% Phillies
Giants vs Pirates B.Zito vs D.Dumatrait Pirates 51.00% 52.38% 48.00% Pirates
Padres vs Braves R.Wolf vs T.Hudson Braves 57.23% 60.78% 65.90% Braves
Brewers vs Marlins D.Bush vs B.Badenhop Marlins 50.10 48.78% 48.10% Marlins
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 313.83 6346.35
LV Hilton Odds 304.42 6458.96
AccuScore 293.40 6384.98
LV Hilton leads by 1.77%
AccuScore leads by 0.61%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Monday, May 05, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, May 6th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds AccuScore Winner
Mets vs Dodgers N.Figueroa vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 53.50% 55.56% 60.70% Dodgers
Cardinals vs Rockies B.Looper vs M.Redman Rockies 54.50% 48.54% 47.90% Cardinals
Phillies vs DBacks A.Eaton vs R.Johnson DBacks 54.77% 56.52% 62.20% DBacks
Giants vs Pirates J.Sanchez vs Z.Duke Pirates 53.00% 52.38% 55.80% Pirates
Padres vs Braves C.Young vs J.Jurrjens Braves 52.57% 56.52% 62.30% Braves
Brewers vs Marlins J.Suppan vs S.Olsen Marlins 50.13% 52.38% 55.00% Marlins
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 309.47 6036.88
LV Hilton Odds 324.82 6134.14
AccuScore 348.10 6036.88
LV Hilton leads by 1.61%
Note: I am currently fine tuning a more accurate comparison method. I am adding AccuScore as a 2nd comparison source. As of May 6th, I gave them the same score as my simulator.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Sunday, May 04, 2008

Simulations for Monday, May 5th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Mets vs Dodgers O.Perez vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 52.08% 58.33% NA Dodgers
Cardinals vs Rockies J.Pineiro vs U.Jimenez Rockies 54.73% 54.55% NA Cardinals
Phillies vs DBacks J.Moyer vs M.Scherzer DBacks 53.39% 57.45% NA Phillies
Cubs vs Reds R.Dempster vs J.Cueto Cubs 50.37% 47.62% NA Reds
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 193.59 5843.29
LV Hilton Odds 198.71 5935.43
LV Hilton leads by 1.58%
Note: I will be using a different method for comparing my simulator with Las Vegas Sports Book shortly. It involves comparing the standard deviation of each system.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Saturday, May 03, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, May 4th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies D.Lowe vs A.Cook Rockies 50.50% 52.38% NA Rockies
Mets vs DBacks J.Santana vs D.Haren DBacks 52.63% 46.51% NA Mets
Padres vs Marlins G.Maddux vs A.Miller Padres 50.17% 53.49% NA Padres
Giants vs Phillies T.Lincecum vs C.Hamels Phillies 56.93% 62.26% NA Phillies
Brewers vs Astros B.Sheets vs C.Sampson Brewers 54.13% 60.00% NA Astros
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 250.84 5592.45
LV Hilton Odds 261.62 5673.81
LV Hilton leads by 1.45%
Note: I will be using a different method for comparing my simulator with Las Vegas Sports Book shortly. It involves comparing the standard deviation of each system.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Friday, May 02, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, May 3rd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies E.Loaiza vs J.DeLaRosa Dodgers 50.90% 51.22% NA Dodgers
Mets vs DBacks M.Pelfrey vs B.Webb DBacks 53.37% 62.96% NA DBacks
Padres vs Marlins J.Peavy vs R.Nolasco Padres 54.43% 60.00% NA Padres
Giants vs Phillies M.Cain vs B.Myers Phillies 59.23% 61.54% NA Giants
Brewers vs Astros M.Parra vs B.Backe Astros 50.23% 50.00% NA Astros
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 249.70 5342.75
LV Hilton Odds 262.64 5411.17
LV Hilton leads by 1.28%
Note: I will be using a different method for comparing my simulator with Las Vegas Sports Book shortly. It involves comparing the standard deviation of each system.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Thursday, May 01, 2008

Simulations for Friday, May 2nd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies B.Penny vs J.Francis Rockies 50.83% 48.78% NA Dodgers
Mets vs DBacks J.Maine vs M.Owings Mets 54.40% 46.51% NA Mets
Padres vs Marlins J.Germano vs M.Hendrickson Marlins 50.07% 53.49% NA Marlins
Giants vs Phillies P.Misch vs K.Kendrick Phillies 58.53% 61.54% NA Phillies
Brewers vs Astros C.Villanueva vs R.Oswalt Astros 52.63% 56.52% NA Astros
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 264.80 5077.95
LV Hilton Odds 269.28 5141.89
LV Hilton leads by 1.26%
Note: I will be using a different method for comparing my simulator with Las Vegas Sports Book shortly. It involves comparing the standard deviation of each system.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.