Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, May 1st

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Marlins H.Kuroda vs B.Badenhop Dodgers 54.53% 55.56% NA Dodgers
Padres vs Phillies R.Wolf vs A.Eaton Phillies 50.93% 52.38% NA Phillies
Brewers vs Cubs Y.Gallardo vs C.Zambrano Cubs 51.87% 57.45% NA Brewers
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 153.59 4924.36
LV Hilton Odds 150.49 4991.40
LV Hilton leads by 1.36%
Note: I will be using a different method for comparing my simulator with Las Vegas Sports Book shortly. It involves comparing the standard deviation of each system.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, April 30th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Marlins C.Billingsley vs S.Olsen Marlins 50.20% 50.00% NA Dodgers
Padres vs Phillies C.Young vs J.Moyer Padres 51.53% 53.49% NA Padres
Rockies vs Giants U.Jimenez vs J.Sanchez Rockies 51.60% 48.78% NA Giants
Astros vs DBacks S.Chacon vs R.Johnson DBacks 56.53% 59.18% NA DBacks
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 206.26 4718.10
LV Hilton Odds 211.24 4780.16
LV Hilton leads by 1.32%
Note: I will be using a different method for comparing my simulator with Las Vegas Sports Book shortly. It involves comparing the standard deviation of each system.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Monday, April 28, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, April 29th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Marlins D.Lowe vs A.Miller Dodgers 51.38% 55.56% NA Dodgers
Padres vs Phillies G.Maddux vs C.Hamels Phillies 53.35% 62.55% NA Phillies
Rockies vs Giants A.Cook vs T.Lincecum Giants 51.85% 53.92% NA Rockies
Astros vs DBacks J.Cassel vs E.Gonzalez DBacks 53.98% 59.18% NA Astros
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 198.90 4519.20
LV Hilton Odds 205.01 4575.15
LV Hilton leads by 1.24%
Note: I will be using a different method for comparing my simulator with Las Vegas Sports Book shortly. It involves comparing the standard deviation of each system.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Sunday, April 27, 2008

Simulations for Monday, April 28th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Rockies vs Giants F.Morales vs M.Cain Giants 52.43% 51.22% NA Giants
Astros vs DBacks C.Sampson vs D.Haren DBacks 62.33% 62.96% NA DBacks
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 114.76 4404.44
LV Hilton Odds 114.18 4460.97
LV Hilton leads by 1.28%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, April 27th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Rockies vs Dodgers J.Francis vs E.Loaiza Dodgers 53.17% 50.00% NA Dodgers
DBacks vs Padres B.Webb vs J.Peavy Padres 51.37% 53.49% NA DBacks
Reds vs Giants E.Volquez vs B.Zito Giants 53.67% 45.45% NA Reds
Marlins vs Brewers R.Nolasco vs J.Parra Brewers 53.87% 59.18% NA Marlins
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 194.26 4210.18
LV Hilton Odds 191.88 4269.09
100-Fave Method 150 4250
LV Hilton leads by 1.40%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Friday, April 25, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, April 26th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Rockies vs Dodgers M.Redman vs B.Penny Dodgers 57.33% 63.64% NA Dodgers
DBacks vs Padres M.Owings vs J.Germano Padres 52.33% 50.00% NA Padres
Reds vs Giants M.Belisle vs K.Correia Giants 52.93% 50.00% NA Reds
Marlins vs Brewers M.Hendrickson vs C.Villanueva Brewers 55.40% 60.00% NA Brewers
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 212.13 3998.05
LV Hilton Odds 223.64 4045.45
100-Fave Method 300 3950
LV Hilton leads by 1.19%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Simulations for Friday, April 25th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Rockies vs Dodgers U.Jimenez vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 57.03% 58.33% NA Dodgers
DBacks vs Padres R.Johnson vs R.Wolf DBacks 52.15% 50.00% NA DBacks
Reds vs Giants A.Harang vs J.Sanchez Giants 50.60% 44.44% NA Giants
Marlins vs Brewers S.Olsen vs Y.Gallardo Brewers 58.40% 59.68% NA Marlins
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 201.38 3796.67
LV Hilton Odds 193.09 3852.36
100-Fave Method 150 3800
LV Hilton leads by 1.47%
Note: Posts by commentor Matt has led me to track a method that puts a confidence score of 100% on all Vegas favorites as another tracking method. I may or may not continue this method. Time will tell.
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, April 24th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers E.Gonzalez vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 56.58% 56.52% NA DBacks
Giants vs Padres T.Lincecum vs C.Young Padres 56.00% 57.45% NA Giants
Cubs vs Rockies J.Marquis vs A.Cook Rockies 55.20% 55.56% NA Rockies
Phillies vs Brewers J.Moyer vs J.Suppan Brewers 52.98% 54.55% NA Phillies
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 189.64 3607.03
LV Hilton Odds 187.04 3665.32
LV Hilton leads by 1.62%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, April 23rd

Note of personal interest: I was quoted in ESPN The Magazine, which has an article ranking the top sports franchises. My comment was a bit sarcastic but nonetheless very serious in regards to nickle and diming that takes place in order to attend an MLB game. (Hat Tip: Molly Knight)

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers D.Haren vs D.Lowe DBacks 50.68% 49.26% NA Dodgers
Giants vs Padres M.Cain vs G.Maddux Padres 56.55% 57.45% NA Giants
Cubs vs Rockies R.Hill vs F.Morales Rockies 51.50% 52.38% NA Cubs
Phillies vs Brewers C.Hamels vs D.Bush Phillies 50.10% 58.33% NA Brewers
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 191.17 3415.86
LV Hilton Odds 182.58 3482.74
LV Hilton leads by 1.96%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Monday, April 21, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, April 22nd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Reds H.Guo vs E.Volquez Dodgers 50.48% 47.62% NA Reds
Padres vs Astros J.Peavy vs B.Backe Padres 54.82% 60.47% NA Astros
Phillies vs Rockies B.Myers vs J.Francis Rockies 53.02% 53.49% NA Phillies
Giants vs DBacks B.Zito vs B.Webb DBacks 62.36% 68.75% NA DBacks
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 204.04 3211.82
LV Hilton Odds 207.17 3275.57
LV Hilton leads by 1.98%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Sunday, April 20, 2008

Simulations for Monday, April 21st

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Reds B.Penny vs M.Belisle Dodgers 50.67% 55.95% NA Dodgers
Padres vs Astros J.Germano vs R.Oswalt Astros 52.87% 56.90% NA Astros
Phillies vs Rockies K.Kendrick vs M.Redman Rockies 51.30% 51.22% NA Phillies
Giants vs DBacks K.Correia vs M.Owings DBacks 58.13% 64.60% NA DBacks
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 210.37 3001.45
LV Hilton Odds 226.23 3049.34
LV Hilton leads by 1.60%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Saturday, April 19, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, April 20th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Braves H.Kuroda vs J.Jurrjens Braves 51.43% 51.22% NA Braves
Padres vs DBacks R.Wolf vs R.Johnson DBacks 56.50% 57.45% NA Padres
Rockies vs Astros U.Jimenez vs S.Chacon Astros 52.03% 52.38% NA Astros
Giants vs Cardinals J.Sanchez vs B.Looper Cardinals 54.87% 60.78% NA Giants
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 192.09 2809.36
LV Hilton Odds 185.37 2863.97
LV Hilton leads by 1.94%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Friday, April 18, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, April 19th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Braves C.Billingsley vs C.James Braves 52.90% 52.38% NA Braves
Padres vs DBacks C.Young vs E.Gonzalez Padres 51.20% 50.00% NA DBacks
Rockies vs Astros A.Cook vs W.Rodriguez Rockies 50.97% 47.62% NA Rockies
Giants vs Cardinals T.Lincecum vs J.Pineiro Giants 50.37 48.78% NA Giants
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 203.04 2605.96
LV Hilton Odds 198.78 2665.19
LV Hilton leads by 2.27%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Thursday, April 17, 2008

Simulations for Friday, April 18th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs Braves D.Lowe vs J.Bennett Dodgers 50.07% 56.52% NA Braves
Padres vs DBacks C.Young vs D.Haren DBacks 51.43% 60.00% NA DBacks
Rockies vs Astros F.Morales vs C.Sampson Astros 50.00% 52.38% NA Rockies
Giants vs Cardinals M.Cain vs T.Wellemeyer Cardinals 50.90% 56.52% NA Cardinals
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 202.26 2403.70
LV Hilton Odds 220.66 2444.53
LV Hilton leads by 1.70%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until approximately May 15th.

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, April 17th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Rockies vs Padres J.Francis vs J.Peavy Padres 55.86% 63.64% NA Rockies
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 44.14 2359.56
LV Hilton Odds 36.36 2408.17
LV Hilton leads by 2.06%
Note: Log5 method will be available around May 15th.

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, April 16th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Pirates vs Dodgers P.Maholm vs B.Penny Dodgers 57.33% 64.91% NA Dodgers
DBacks vs Giants B.Webb vs B.Zito DBacks 53.77% 63.64% NA DBacks
Rockies vs Padres M.Redman vs J.Germano Padres 52.83% 57.45% NA Rockies
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 158.27 2201.29
LV Hilton Odds 171.10 2237.07
LV Hilton leads by 1.63
Note: DBacks 2008 ZIPS Projections are killing me. I will shortly switch the DBacks over to a more generous projection system.

Monday, April 14, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, April 15th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Pirates vs Dodgers M.Morris vs H.Guo Dodgers 59.03% 61.54% NA Dodgers
DBacks vs Giants M.Owings vs K.Correia Giants 50.80% 45.25% NA DBacks
Rockies vs Padres U.Jimenez vs R.Wolf Padres 51.50% 54.55% NA Padres
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 156.73 2044.56
LV Hilton Odds 170.84 2066.23
LV Hilton leads by 1.06%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Sunday, April 13, 2008

Simulations for Monday, April 14th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Pirates vs Dodgers Z.Duke vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 58.30% 62.26% NA Pirates
DBacks vs Giants R.Johnson vs J.Sanchez DBacks 52.40% 55.56% Giants TBD
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 89.30 1955.26
LV Hilton Odds 82.18 1984.05
LV Hilton leads by 1.47%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Saturday, April 12, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, April 13th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Padres vs Dodgers G.Maddux vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 50.37% 54.55% NA Padres
Cardinals vs Giants J.Pineiro vs T.Lincecum Giants 56.90% 55.56% NA Giants
Rockies vs DBacks A.Cook vs E.Gonzalez Rockies 50.73% 46.51% NA Rockies
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 157.26 1798.00
LV Hilton Odds 147.52 1836.53
LV Hilton leads by 2.14%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Friday, April 11, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, April 12th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Padres vs Dodgers C.Young vs D.Lowe Dodgers 53.23% 52.38% NA Dodgers
Cardinals vs Giants T.Wellemeyer vs M.Cain Giants 54.70% 52.38% NA Cardinals
Rockies vs DBacks F.Morales vs D.Haren DBacks 53.30% 58.33% NA DBacks
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 151.83 1646.17
LV Hilton Odds 158.33 1678.20
LV Hilton leads by 1.95%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Simulations for Friday, April 11th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Padres vs Dodgers J.Peavy vs B.Penny Padres 50.03% 51.22% NA Padres
Cardinals vs Giants K.Lohse vs B.Zito Giants 51.77% 45.45% NA Cardinals
Rockies vs DBacks J.Francis vs B.Webb DBacks 56.63% 59.18% NA DBacks
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 154.89 1491.28
LV Hilton Odds 164.95 1513.25
LV Hilton leads by 1.47%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Wednesday, April 09, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, April 10th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Cardinals vs Giants A.Wainwright vs K.Correia Giants 50.23% 43.48% NA Giants
Braves vs Rockies T.Hudson vs J.Francis Braves 50.43% 52.38% NA ppd.
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 50.23 1441.05
LV Hilton Odds 43.48 1469.77
LV Hilton leads by 1.99%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Tuesday, April 08, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, April 9th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks H.Kuroda vs M.Owings Dodgers 51.28% 50.00% NA DBacks
Padres vs Giants J.Germano vs J.Sanchez Padres 53.20% 55.56% NA Giants
Braves vs Rockies C.James vs M.Redman Braves 50.60% 52.38% NA Rockies
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 144.92 1296.13
LV Hilton Odds 142.06 1327.71
LV Hilton leads by 2.44%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Monday, April 07, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, April 8th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks C.Billingsley vs D.Davis DBacks 54.27% 47.62% NA DBacks
Padres vs Giants R.Wolf vs T.Lincecum Giants 54.00% 53.49% NA Giants
Braves vs Rockies J.Jurrjens vs U.Jimenez Braves 50.10% 46.51% NA Rockies
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 158.17 1137.96
LV Hilton Odds 154.60 1173.11
LV Hilton leads by 3.09%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Thursday, April 03, 2008

Simulations for Fri-Sun, April 4-6

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Friday, April 4th
Dodgers vs Padres H.Kuroda vs J.Germano Padres 51.20% 51.22% NA Dodgers
DBacks vs Rockies M.Owings vs M.Redman Rockies 52.56% 53.49% NA DBacks
Giants vs Brewers J.Sanchez vs C.Villanueva Brewers 61.48% 64.91% NA Brewers
Saturday, April 5th
Dodgers vs Padres B.Penny vs J.Peavy Padres 52.56% 56.52% NA Padres
DBacks vs Rockies B.Webb vs J.Francis Rockies 50.36% 48.78% NA DBacks
Giants vs Brewers K.Correia vs M.Parra Brewers 58.20% 64.91% NA Brewers
Sunday, April 6th
Dodgers vs Padres D.Lowe vs C.Young Padres 53.52% 57.45% NA Dodgers
DBacks vs Rockies E.Gonzalez vs F.Morales Rockies 53.40% 57.45% NA DBacks
Giants vs Brewers M.Cain vs B.Sheets Brewers 59.00% 67.21% NA Brewers
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 470.20 667.76
LV Hilton Odds 485.16 687.95
LV Hilton leads by 3.02%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Wednesday, April 02, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, April 3rd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Rockies vs Cardinals U.Jimenez vs B.Thompston Rockies 50.32% 52.38% NA Cardinals
Astros vs Padres S.Chacon vs R.Wolf Padres 51.00% 57.45% NA Padres
DBacks vs Reds D.Davis vs J.Cueto Reds 50.44% 53.49% NA Reds
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 151.12 516.64
LV Hilton Odds 158.56 529.39
LV Hilton leads by 2.47%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.

Tuesday, April 01, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, April 2nd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Giants vs Dodgers T.Lincecum vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 56.44% 60.00% NA Giants
Rockies vs Cardinals A.Cook vs T.Wellemeyer Rockies 50.88% 51.22% NA Cardinals
Astros vs Padres W.Rodriguez vs G.Maddux Padres 52.52% 59.18% NA Astros
DBacks vs Reds D.Haren vs B.Arroyo Reds 52.80% 48.78% NA Reds
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 192.96 323.68
LV Hilton Odds 180.82 348.57
LV Hilton leads by 7.69%
Note: Log5 method won't be used until May 1st.